The Detroit Pistons aim to defend their home floor on Sunday when the New York Knicks come to town for an afternoon matchup. Detroit is 12-25 at home this season and 20-54 overall in 2021-22. New York is 32-42 overall after winning four of the last six games, and the Knicks are 17-21 on the road. Jerami Grant (calf) and Hamidou Diallo (finger) are out for Detroit, with Derrick Rose (ankle), Cam Reddish (shoulder) and Nerlens Noel (foot) ruled out for New York. Julius Randle (quad) is listed as questionable for the Knicks.
Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET in Detroit. The Knicks are listed as four-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 219.5 in the latest Knicks vs. Pistons odds. Before you make any Pistons vs. Knicks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 22 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 79-49 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Knicks vs. Pistons spread: Knicks -4
- Knicks vs. Pistons over-under: 219.5 points
- Knicks vs. Pistons money line: Knicks -170, Pistons +145
- NYK: The Knicks are 19-25 against the spread in conference games
- DET: The Pistons are 28-17-1 against the spread in conference games
Why the Knicks can cover
New York has clear strengths on both ends of the floor, including elite marks on the glass. The Knicks are No. 6 in the NBA in offensive rebound rate (29.4 percent), and New York averages more than 14 second-chance points per game. On defense, New York is in the top five of the NBA in field goal percentage allowed, and the Knicks are securing nearly 74 percent of available defensive rebounds.
From there, Detroit is scuffling on both ends of the floor in key metrics. The Pistons are No. 28 in the NBA in offensive rating, scoring 1.05 points per possession, and Detroit ranks in the bottom five in field goal percentage, 3-point percentage, two-point percentage, and assist-to-turnover ratio. On defense, the Pistons are allowing almost 1.13 points per possession, No. 24 in the NBA. Detroit also ranks No. 27 or worse in 3-point defense, free throw prevention, and defensive rebound rate, with opponents snatching nearly 30 percent of missed shots on the offensive glass.
Why the Pistons can cover
The Pistons have a juicy defensive matchup against the Knicks. Detroit is in the top eight of the NBA in fast break points allowed (11.1 per game), second-chance points allowed (12.6 per game), and turnovers created (14.6 per game). The Pistons are also above-average in steals (7.6 per game) and blocks (4.8 per game), and New York's offense scuffles in several categories. The Knicks are scoring less than 1.1 points per possession for the season, ranking No. 23 in the NBA in efficiency. New York is dead-last in the league in assists and points in the paint, with the second-worst mark in two-point accuracy.
The Knicks are also in the bottom five of the league in assist-to-turnover ratio, and Detroit does have offensive strengths to focus on against New York. The Pistons are above-average in offensive rebound rate at 27.7 percent, which leads to 13.9 second-chance points per game. Detroit is also above-average in free throw attempts (22.1 per game) and free throw accuracy (77.9 percent) this season.
How to make Pistons vs. Knicks picks
The model is leaning under on the total, projecting 215 combined points. It's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Knicks vs. Pistons? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.