The Phoenix Suns put an impressive road record on the line Friday against the Indiana Pacers in Indianapolis. The Suns are 31-9 overall and 14-4 away from home. Indiana is 12-11 at home and 15-27 overall to begin the 2021-22 season. The Pacers have dominated this series in recent years, winning seven of their last nine meetings against Phoenix.
Tipoff from Gainbridge Fieldhouse is at 7 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Phoenix as the 5.5-point road favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 219.5 in the latest Suns vs. Pacers odds. Before making any Pacers vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model entered Week 13 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 52-28 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Pacers, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Pacers vs. Suns:
- Suns vs. Pacers spread: Suns -5.5
- Suns vs. Pacers over-under: 219.5 points
- Suns vs. Pacers money line: Suns -230, Pacers +190
- PHX: The Suns are 10-8 against the spread in road games
- IND: The Pacers are 13-9-1 against the spread in home games
Why the Suns can cover
Phoenix's offense is elite by any description, ranking near the top of the NBA on a per-possession basis. The Suns are in the top five of the league in true shooting percentage, and Phoenix is a tremendous passing team. With that said, Phoenix is even better on defense with the league's second-best mark in overall efficiency. The Suns are allowing 1.04 points per possession, with top-five rankings in field goal percentage allowed (43.7 percent) and 3-point percentage allowed (32.8 percent).
Phoenix does a good job keeping opponents off the free throw line, allowing 20.6 attempts per game, and the Suns give up only 22.7 assists per game. Phoenix is also in the top 10 in both turnover creation rate (15.4 percent) and steals (8.8 per game), with opponents producing only 11.4 fast break points per game.
Why the Pacers can cover
Indiana is soundly out-pacing its win-loss record from a statistical perspective. The Pacers are grabbing 29.6 percent of available rebounds on the offensive glass, a top-five figure in the NBA. Indiana is also converting 54.8 percent of 2-point attempts while averaging 48.1 points in the paint per game. The Pacers pass at a high level, averaging 24.0 assists per game, and the Suns are below-average on the glass on both sides of the floor.
Defensively, Indiana leads the NBA in 3-pointers per game, giving up 10.8 triples per game. The Pacers give up only 21.9 assists per game, No. 3 in the NBA, and Indiana secures more than 74 percent of available defensive rebounds. The Pacers protect the rim at an elite level, averaging 5.9 blocked shots per game, and Phoenix ranks in the bottom five of the NBA in free-throw creation on the offensive side.
How to make Pacers vs. Suns picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 219 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Suns vs. Pacers? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.