The Sacramento Kings will look to force a Game 7 when they meet the Golden State Warriors in Game 6 of their Western Conference first-round matchup on Friday. After winning the first two games, Sacramento has dropped three in a row and now trails in this 2023 NBA playoff series. The Kings (48-34), who finished with the third-best record in the West this year, have played well away from home, posting a 25-16 road record in 2022-23. The Warriors (44-38), the defending NBA champions, were 30-22 against conference foes this season, and were 33-8 on their home court.

The game from Chase Center in San Francisco will begin at 8 p.m. ET. The Warriors are allowing 117.1 points per game, 21st-best in the league, while the Kings are surrendering 118.1, 25th-best. Golden State is a 7.5-point favorite in the latest Kings vs. Warriors odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 237.5. Before making any Warriors vs. Kings picks, be sure to check out the NBA playoff predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the third week of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Kings vs. Warriors and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NBA lines and trends for Warriors vs. Kings:

  • Warriors vs. Kings spread: Warriors -7.5 
  • Warriors vs. Kings over/under: 237.5 points 
  • Warriors vs. Kings money line: Kings +260, Warriors -335
  • SAC: The Kings are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games following an against the spread loss 
  • GSW: The Warriors are 37-13-1 ATS in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a winning road record 
  • Warriors vs. Kings picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings

Why the Warriors can cover 

Small forward Andrew Wiggins has been a big reason for Golden State's three-game winning streak. He is coming off a 20-point, four-rebound, two-block and two-steal effort in the win on Wednesday. Wiggins scored 18 points and added eight rebounds, four blocks and three assists in the Game 4 win on Sunday. For the series, he's averaging 19.4 points, 5.4 rebounds, 2.2 blocks and 1.4 assists. He had his way with Sacramento during the regular season, averaging 25 points, 6.3 rebounds, 2.3 steals, 1.7 assists and one block in three appearances.

Also helping power the Warriors is shooting guard Jordan Poole. He was one of three Golden State players to average 20 or more points during the regular season, averaging 20.4 points, 4.5 assists and 2.7 rebounds in 82 games, including 43 starts. Poole is coming off a 10-point, six-assist effort in Game 5, while in Game 4, he poured in 22 points and added four assists. Poole averaged 13 points, 3.3 assists and 1.8 rebounds in four regular season games against the Kings this year. See which team to pick here.

Why the Kings can cover

Shooting guard Malik Monk continues to be a stalwart off the bench. In five postseason games, he is averaging 18.2 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.4 assists. He's coming off a 21-point performance in Wednesday's loss in which he also grabbed five rebounds, dished out three assists and made two steals. He scored 32 points in the series opener and had 18 points, six rebounds and three assists in Game 2. He also played well against Golden State in three regular-season games, averaging 17.3 points, 5.3 assists and 4.7 rebounds.

Small forward Harrison Barnes has reached double-digit scoring in four of the five games in the series, including a 13-point effort in Game 5 on Wednesday. He had 17 points in Game 3, and has reached double figures in 10 of the past 11 games. In 82 regular-season games, all starts, Barnes averaged 15 points, 4.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists. For his career, he is averaging 14.2 points, five rebounds and 1.8 assists. See which team to pick here.

How to make Kings vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 230 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in 60% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins Kings vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Kings vs. Warriors spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $2,800 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.