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The Dallas Mavericks host the Golden State Warriors in a pivotal Game 3 battle in the 2022 Western Conference finals on Sunday evening. The Warriors have jumped out to a 2-0 lead after rallying down 19 points in the second half to secure a 126-117 win in Game 2. Dallas hopes to regain momentum and pick up a much-needed win in front of its home crowd. 

Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center. Dallas is favored by 2.5-points in the latest Warriors vs. Mavericks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 217.5. Before locking in any Mavericks vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the conference finals round of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Mavericks, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavs vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Mavericks spread: Dallas -2.5
  • Warriors vs. Mavericks over-under: 217.5 points
  • Warriors vs. Mavericks money line: Golden State +130, Dallas -150
  • Warriors vs. Mavericks tickets: See tickets at StubHub
  • DAL: The Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite
  • GS: The Warriors are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four Western Conference finals games

Why the Warriors can cover

Curry put on a show in Golden State's Game 2 victory over Dallas, finishing with 32 points, eight rebounds and five assists. Curry is knocking down 45.6 percent of his field goals in the postseason, while averaging 26.8 points per game. The eight-time All-Star is a highly creative passer with terrific dribbling skills. He's also been effective on the glass, recording seven or more rebounds in each of his last three games. 

Andrew Wiggins has also been an efficient scorer for Golden State in the 2022 NBA playoffs. In fact, Wiggins has scored 16 or more points in seven of his last eight games. The former No. 1 overall pick went 3-for-5 from 3-point range in Game 2, and he'll look to be aggressive again on Sunday. Wiggins (ankle) is questionable for Sunday's contest, but he's expected to take the floor in Dallas. 

Why the Mavericks can cover

Guard Jalen Brunson has been a solid outlet in the backcourt. Brunson can create his own shot with a nice first step to get by his defender. He is fearless when driving down the lane with a reliable mid-range jumper. The Villanova product also finds easy looks for his teammates. Brunson averages 22.9 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game. 

Guard Spencer Dinwiddie is a long, smart, and smooth facilitator. Dinwiddie brings terrific height to the guard spot, allowing him to see the court extremely well. The Colorado product uses his size to gain position or shoot right over his defender. He's logging 12.9 points and 3.5 assists per game during the 2022 NBA playoffs. In Game 1, he finished with 17 points and knocked down three 3-pointers. 

How to make Mavericks vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 210 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.