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The 2021 Emerald Coast Classic wraps up with a quartet of games on Saturday in Florida. The first matchup of the day features a morning tipoff between the St. Francis (N.Y.) Terriers and the North Carolina A&T Aggies. St. Francis is looking for its first victory of the 2021-22 season after an 0-5 start. North Carolina A&T is 1-6 after a narrow, two-point loss to Samford on Friday.

Tipoff is at 11 a.m. ET in Destin, Fla. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Aggies as three-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 142 in the latest St. Francis vs. North Carolina A&T odds. Before making any North Carolina A&T vs. St. Francis picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on St. Francis vs. North Carolina A&T. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for North Carolina A&T vs. St. Francis:

  • St. Francis vs. North Carolina A&T spread: North Carolina A&T -3
  • St. Francis vs. North Carolina A&T over-under: 142 points
  • SF: The Terriers are 3-2 against the spread this season
  • NCAT: The Aggies are 4-2 against the spread in 2021-22
Featured Game | North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. St. Francis (N.Y.) Terriers

Why St. Francis can cover

The Terriers are one of the most experienced teams in the country in terms of returning players. On offense, the Terriers are buoyed by strong offensive rebounding, and St. Francis secures more than 30 percent of its missed shots. The Terriers are also shooting 48.9 percent on 2-point shots, an above-average rate, and North Carolina A&T is near the bottom of the country in defensive rebound rate (65.8 percent) and free-throw prevention on defense. 

On the opposite side, St. Francis is creating a steal on 11.4 percent of possessions, with above-average marks in 3-point attempt rate allowed and free-throw rate allowed. North Carolina A&T is outside the top 300 of the country in 2-point shooting (42.5 percent) and free-throw shooting (58.2 percent), with the Aggies also struggling to make any dents on the offensive glass this season.

Why North Carolina A&T can cover

North Carolina A&T does a fantastic job in ball security, committing a turnover on fewer than 18 percent of possessions, and the Aggies are above-average in 3-point attempt rate. St. Francis is allowing opponents to shoot 58.3 percent on 2-point attempts and 36.8 percent on 3-point attempts, both of which rank near the bottom of the country. The Terriers also have only a 5.0 percent block rate on defense, and North Carolina shouldn't have an issue in attacking the rim. 

On defense, the Aggies are creating a turnover on more than 21 percent of possessions, and St. Francis has notable weaknesses to exploit. The Terriers are outside the top 300 nationally in free-throw creation rate, with 28.3 percent shooting on 3-point attempts and 66.2 percent shooting on free-throw attempts. St. Francis is also committing a turnover on more than 21 percent of offensive trips, and that is a positive mix for North Carolina A&T.

How to make St. Francis vs. North Carolina A&T picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 139 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins North Carolina A&T vs. St. Francis? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $2,100 on its college basketball picks the last five years, and find out.