Struggling teams face off to begin the 2022 ACC Tournament on Tuesday afternoon. The No. 13 seed Boston College Eagles and No. 12 seed Pittsburgh Panthers meet at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, with both teams aiming to begin a Cinderella run. Pittsburgh is 11-20 overall and 6-14 in ACC games this season, including an active four-game losing streak. Boston College is also 6-14 in ACC games, with an overall record of 11-19 and a 2-8 mark in the last ten games.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Eagles as two-point favorites for this 2 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 129.5 in the latest Boston College vs. Pittsburgh odds. Before making any Pittsburgh vs. Boston College picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Pitt vs. Boston College, and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for Boston College vs. Pitt:
- Boston College vs. Pittsburgh spread: Boston College -2
- Boston College vs. Pittsburgh over-under: 129.5 points
- Boston College vs. Pittsburgh money line: BC -135, Pitt +115
- BC: The Eagles are 10-10 against the spread in ACC games
- PITT: The Panthers are 9-11 against the spread in ACC games
Why Boston College can cover
Boston College has some clear defensive strengths. The Eagles are in the top five of the ACC in turnover creation rate at 18.0 percent, and Boston College generates a steal on 10.9 percent of possessions. Boston College is also No. 4 in the ACC in 2-point accuracy allowed at 49.0 percent, and the Eagles are above-average in defensive rebound rate at 74.2 percent. Pittsburgh ranks outside the top 300 in shooting efficiency this season, and the Panthers are near the bottom of the nation in offensive turnover rate at 21.1 percent.
Boston College is also adept at gaining edges in the possession battle on offense, with the Eagles posting a 30.6 offensive rebound rate and a 17.6 percent turnover rate. Pitt struggles to force turnovers on defense, including a paltry 8.3 percent steal rate, and opponents are shooting 36.6 percent from 3-point range against Pittsburgh this season.
Why Pittsburgh can cover
Pittsburgh has a truly elite trait on offense, ranking in the top 10 of the country in free-throw creation rate. However, the Panthers have a better projection on defense in this particular matchup. Pittsburgh is in the top five of the ACC in defensive rebound rate at 73.6 percent, and the Panthers are No. 4 in the conference with a 12.3 percent block rate. Pittsburgh is also above-average in free- throw prevention, and Boston College is No. 12 in the ACC in both free-throw creation and free-throw accuracy.
Boston College is last in the conference in shooting efficiency, including the ACC's worst mark in 3-point accuracy at 28.4 percent. The Eagles are No. 13 in the conference in assist rate, and Boston College is making only 48.1 percent of shot attempts inside the 3-point arc this season.
How to make Pittsburgh vs. Boston College picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 131 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Boston College vs. Pittsburgh? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.