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Freshman quarterback Seth Henigan and the Memphis Tigers go on the road to play fellow freshman quarterback Mikey Keene and the UCF Knights on Friday evening. The Tigers (4-3) started the season off 3-0 before dropping their next three games. They got back on track last week with their victory over Navy. The Knights (3-3) have dominated at home, winning all three of their matchups. They have their eyes set on improving to 4-0 at home and getting above .500. 

Kickoff from the Bounce House in Orlando, Fla., is set for 7 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Tigers at -1.5 in the Memphis vs. UCF odds, while the over-under for total points is 66, up 3.5 points from the opening line. Before making any UCF vs. Memphis picks, be sure to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 8 of the 2021 season on a 22-9 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Memphis vs. UCF and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football odds and trends for UCF vs. Memphis:

  • Memphis vs. UCF spread: Memphis -1.5
  • Memphis vs. UCF over-under: 66 points 
  • Memphis vs. UCF money line: Memphis -125, UCF +105
  • MEM: Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Friday games 
  • UCF: Over is 5-1 in Knights last six games as a favorite 
Featured Game | UCF Knights vs. Memphis Tigers

Why Memphis can cover

The Tigers are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 Friday games. Henigan has played extremely well through the first seven games of his career. He has completed 60 percent of his passes for 2,153 yards and 16 touchdowns. Henigan ranks second in passing yards (307.6) in the American Athletic Conference.

Against Navy, Henigan went 8 of 12 for 215 yards and two touchdowns. He opened the game with a dart over the middle to redshirt sophomore receiver Jason Ivory for a 49-yard gain. Later in the first half, Henigan connected with Eddie Lewis for a 71-yard touchdown that gave Memphis a 21-10 lead. The Tigers cruised to a 35-17 win against Navy. This marks the second straight game where Henigan has thrown at least two passing touchdowns. 

Why UCF can cover

The Knights roll into this matchup with the fifth-ranked offense in the conference. They average 440.2 total yards of offense and 34.2 points per game. The Knights have scored 30 points or more in four games this year. The staple of this offense is their rushing attack. Even in a loss to No. 2 Cincinnati, UCF rushed for 155 yards and two scores.

The Knights have rushed for more than 145 yards in every game this season. With senior running back Isaiah Bowser returning to the field, the Knights have a dynamic one-two punch at tailback. Sophomore running back Johnny Richardson and Bowser combine for 126.4 rushing yards per game while tallying seven rushing touchdowns on the year. 

How to make Memphis vs. UCF picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 67 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's UCF vs. Memphis pick at SportsLine

So who wins Memphis vs. UCF? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.