NASCAR All-Star Weekend is about more than just the drivers, as pit crews complete pit stop challenges to help their drivers earn favorable spots in the NASCAR All-Star Heats and All-Star Open grids. Of course, there are plenty of traditional elements to look out for in the build-up to the main event, like how drivers look in race practice. Kyle Larson had the fastest practice lap on Friday at North Wilkesboro Speedway in North Carolina, where he reached a top speed of 109.144 mph. Larson is 9-1 to win in the latest 2023 NASCAR All-Star Race odds at Caesars Sportsbook and last won the All-Star Race in 2019. He's one of the 2023 NASCAR at North Wilkesboro favorites, but will still have to compete against 2023 NASCAR All-Star Race contenders like Martin Truex Jr. (17-2), William Byron (7-1) and Denny Hamlin (11-2).

The green flag drops at 8 p.m. ET. Before scouring the 2023 NASCAR All-Star Race starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at North Wilkesboro Speedway predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 NASCAR All-Star Race picks from SportsLine's proven NASCAR model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1) and Kyle Larson's win at Martinsville (6-1). In Austin, it called Tyler Reddick one of its best values when he won for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 11 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the 2023 NASCAR All-Star Race 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2023 NASCAR at North Wilkesboro Speedway leaderboard.

Top 2023 NASCAR All-Star Race predictions

One surprise: the model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he's a 10-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR All-Star Race odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Busch has only raced on two short tracks like North Wilkesboro this season, but fared well on them last year. He finished ninth in both races at Richmond and seventh at Martinsville, so he knows how to navigate quick laps.

Busch has had the 11th best percentage of max speed among all drivers before taking his first pit or caution in short track races this season. The 200-lap All-Star main event should go by quickly and favor those that are more aggressive up front. Busch finished seventh last weekend at Darlington and won his second race of the year at Talladega at the end of April, so he comes in as a prime choice to win his first All-Star race since 2017 on Saturday. See who else to back at SportsLine.

And a massive shocker: Joey Logano, one of the Vegas favorites at 8-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10. He won the 2016 NASCAR All-Star Race, but the model is not high on him this year. The 2022 Cup Series champion has not cracked the top five in his last four races, with three of those finishes coming outside the top 15. 

Logano did not finish inside the top 30 at Talladega Superspeedway or Dover Motor Speedway before barely cracking the top 20 at Darlington Raceway last week. He has not been able to match his impressive 2022 campaign, sitting outside the top 10 in the Cup Series standings. Logano is still garnering respect in the betting market, making this a time to avoid him with North Wilkesboro Speedway bets. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 NASCAR All-Star Race picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at North Wilkesboro Speedway odds of 10-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the NASCAR All-Star Race 2023? And which longshots are a must-back? Check out the latest 2023 NASCAR at North Wilkesboro Speedway odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2023 North Wilkesboro Speedway NASCAR leaderboard, all from the model that already nailed five winners in 2023, and find out.

2023 NASCAR All-Star Race odds, drivers, lineup

See full 2023 NASCAR at North Wilkesboro Speedway picks at SportsLine

Kyle Larson 13-2
Joey Logano 8-1
William Byron 8-1
Kevin Harvick 17-2
Christopher Bell 9-1
Ross Chastain 10-1
Kyle Busch 10-1
Martin Truex Jr. 10-1
Chase Elliott 11-1
Denny Hamlin 11-1
Ryan Blaney 16-1
Brad Keselowski 20-1
Tyler Reddick 20-1
Bubba Wallace 22-1
Chase Briscoe 25-1
Daniel Suarez 30-1
Chris Buescher 35-1
Austin Cindric 50-1
Austin Dillon 50-1
Erik Jones 60-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 60-1