Alex Bowman has missed four races with a fractured vertebra, but he has been cleared to return to racing for the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 on Monday at 3 p.m. ET. He was injured during a sprint car race on April 25, holding the NASCAR Cup Series points lead at the time of his injury. Bowman, who has already been granted a medical waiver to remain in contention for a playoff spot, is an 18-1 longshot in the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Kyle Larson is the 9-2 favorite atop the 2023 NASCAR at Charlotte odds board, while William Byron is 11-2 and Denny Hamlin is 13-2. NASCAR at Charlotte 2023 will be the longest race in the Cup Series at 400 laps around the 1.5-mile tri-oval. Which drivers should you target with your 2023 Coca-Cola 600 bets?

The 2023 NASCAR at Charlotte green flag will drop at 3 p.m. ET on Monday. Before scouring the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Charlotte predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 Coca-Cola 600 picks from SportsLine's proven NASCAR model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 12 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2023 NASCAR at Charlotte leaderboard.

Top 2023 Coca-Cola 600 predictions

One surprise: the model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he's a 12-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Charlotte odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Busch has already won a pair of races this season, taking the checkered flag at Auto Club Speedway and Talladega Superspeedway.

He added another strong showing in the most recent points-paying race, finishing seventh at Darlington Raceway after starting outside the top 10. Busch has a pair of wins at Charlotte during his career and is coming off a runner-up finish last May. He has been one of the elite drivers at this track in recent years, posting six top-four finishes in his last seven appearances, so the model expects him to contend again this year. See who else to back at SportsLine.

And a massive shocker: William Byron, one of the Vegas favorites at 11-2, stumbles big-time and doesn't even crack the top five. There are far better values in the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 starting lineup, according to the model. The 25-year-old Charlotte native has a career-best three wins already this season and has looked like a breakout title-contender in his sixth full-time season in the NASCAR Cup Series.

However, he's 0-for-11 in his Cup career at Charlotte Motor Speedway (oval or road course) and has been outside the top 10 in four of his six career starts on the 1.5-mile oval. That includes a 32nd-place finish in last year's Coca-Cola 600 despite starting fifth. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 NASCAR at Charlotte picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 Charlotte NASCAR odds longer than 12-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Coca-Cola 600 2023? And which longshots are a must-back? Check out the latest 2023 NASCAR at Charlotte odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2023 Charlotte NASCAR leaderboard, all from the model that already nailed six winners in 2023.

2023 Coca-Cola 600 odds, drivers, lineup

See full 2023 NASCAR at Charlotte picks at SportsLine

Kyle Larson 9-2
William Byron 11-2
Denny Hamlin 13-2
Martin Truex Jr. 8-1
Christopher Bell 9-1
Chase Elliott 9-1
Ross Chastain 10-1
Kyle Busch 12-1
Tyler Reddick 15-1
Kevin Harvick 17-1
Bubba Wallace 18-1
Alex Bowman 18-1
Joey Logano 20-1
Ryan Blaney 22-1
Daniel Suarez 28-1
Brad Keselowski 40-1
Ty Gibbs 60-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 75-1
Austin Dillon 75-1
Chase Briscoe 75-1
Chris Buescher 100-1
Jimmie Johnson 125-1
Erik Jones 150-1
Aric Almirola 150-1
Austin Cindric 150-1
A.J. Allmendinger 250-1
Ryan Preece 250-1
Michael McDowell 500-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Corey Lajoie 750-1
Harrison Burton 1000-1
Noah Gragson 1000-1
Zane Smith 1000-1
Todd Gilliland 1500-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Ty Dillon 5000-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1