Denny Hamlin will seek his fifth NASCAR Cup Series victory at Richmond Raceway when he competes in the 2023 Toyota Owners 400 on Sunday. The 42-year-old Floridian won the fall race at Richmond three times before capturing the checkered flag in this race last year. Hamlin, who also recorded three wins at the track in the Xfinity Series, has posted only two top-10 finishes in six overall starts this season entering NASCAR at Richmond 2023.

Hamlin is +800, while William Byron and Kyle Larson are +550 co-favorites in the 2023 Toyota Owners 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Kevin Harvick, who took the checkered flag in this race in 2013, is +600, while Christopher Bell and 2019 winner Martin Truex Jr. round out the top five 2023 Richmond NASCAR contenders at +750. The 2023 Toyota Owners 400 start time is 3:30 p.m. ET. You'll want to check out the NASCAR at Richmond predictions from Micah Roberts, the legendary Vegas bookmaker who pioneered wagering on racing, before locking in any 2023 Toyota Owners 400.

Roberts was the first to offer expanded NASCAR betting and now hands out NASCAR winners to his followers on SportsLine. Roberts is the nation's premier NASCAR betting expert, and his top pick, Tyler Reddick, won the EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix last week at 10-1 odds.

He also correctly predicted Chase Elliott to win the YellaWood 500 at 12-1 last October and the Jockey Made in America 250 in 2021, nailed the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 winner by hitting Larson's victory at 11-2 and was on point by targeting Elliott as the winner of the EchoPark Texas Grand Prix at +160 the previous week. Anyone who has followed his picks has cashed ticket after ticket.

Now, Roberts has analyzed the field and odds for Sunday's NASCAR at Richmond 2023 race. He's sharing his winner and projected 2023 Toyota Owners 400 leaderboard right here.

2023 NASCAR at Richmond expert predictions 

One shocker: Roberts is fading Martin Truex Jr., even though he is one of the favorites at 15-2. In fact, Roberts says Truex, who won this race in 2021 and has finished seventh or better in his last eight starts at Richmond, barely even cracks the top 15.

"He had a better streak of finishing at least fifth in six straight, winning three, before the new car came into play last season," Roberts told SportsLine. "He was still good, finishing fourth and seventh, but he wasn't the dominant driver we saw over the previous three-year span." See who else to fade here.

Another curveball: Roberts is high on Alex Bowman, even though he's a 20-1 long shot in the latest 2023 Toyota Owners 400 odds. The 29-year-old Arizonan has been one of the best drivers yet to win this season, as he has recorded a Cup Series-leading five top-10 finishes in six starts. Bowman, who registered his second third-place result of the year last week at Circuit of the Americas, won this race in 2021 and has notched two other top-10s over his last five outings at Richmond.

"Bowman had his two best finishes in this race over the last two years," Roberts told SportsLine. "I like the aggressive nature with which I've seen him compete this season." See who else to back here.

How to make 2023 Toyota Owners 400 picks

Roberts is also high on a huge longshot who has performed well at Richmond Raceway. This driver is being underestimated by oddsmakers, and anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can only see who it is here.

So who wins the 2023 Toyota Owners 400? And which longshot stuns NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the projected 2023 NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard from the nation's premier NASCAR handicapper, and find out.

2023 NASCAR at Richmond odds

See full NASCAR at Richmond picks at SportsLine

William Byron +550
Kyle Larson +550
Kevin Harvick +600
Christopher Bell +750
Martin Truex Jr. +750
Denny Hamlin +800
Kyle Busch +1000
Ryan Blaney +1500
Joey Logano +1500
Tyler Reddick +1500
Ross Chastain +1700
Alex Bowman +2000
Brad Keselowski +2200
Josh Berry +3000
Chris Buescher +3000
Daniel Suarez +3000
Chase Briscoe +4500
Aric Almirola +5000
Bubba Wallace +5000
Ryan Preece +6500
Austin Cindric +7500
Austin Dillon +7500
Ty Gibbs +7500
A.J. Allmendinger +10000
Erik Jones +10000
Noah Gragson +20000
Michael McDowell +20000
Chandler Smith +20000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +30000
Harrison Burton +40000
Justin Haley +40000
Corey LaJoie +100000
Todd Gilliland +150000
Ty Dillon +200000
Anthony Alfredo +250000
Cody Ware +500000
J.J. Yeley +500000