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The unforgettable 2020 NASCAR season, which began with a wild finish at the Daytona 500 and survived a COVID-19 suspension for several months, wraps up Sunday with the 2020 Season Finale 500. Four drivers remain in the points race, with Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, Brad Keselowski and Denny Hamlin making up the Championship 4 contending for the NASCAR Cup Series championship. The 2020 Season Finale 500 will also be the final start for both seven-time champion Jimmie Johnson and 2012 Cup runner-up Clint Bowyer as full-time Cup Series drivers.

The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET from Phoenix Raceway, with 39 drivers in the field all hungry for a win in the last race of the season. Hamlin is the 3-1 favorite in the 2020 Season Finale 500 odds from William Hill Sportsbook, with Kevin Harvick at 4-1, Keselowski at 7-2 and both Elliott and Logano at 9-2 in the NASCAR at Phoenix odds. Before making any 2020 Season Finale 500 picks, be sure to see the latest 2020 NASCAR Playoffs at Phoenix predictions and Championship 4 projected leaderboard from the proven model at SportsLine.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 NASCAR season by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start on its NASCAR picks following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven of the top 10 drivers at both Darlington races. Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 as one of his best bets at Bristol in May. 

The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami. At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season, and then nailed four of the top five drivers in the All-Star Race at Bristol. 

During the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 in Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 on the Charlotte Roval. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the NASCAR at Phoenix race on Sunday, Nov. 8, 10,000 times. Head here to see the complete projected leaderboard.

Top 2020 Season Finale 500 predictions

One surprise: The model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he's a 12-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Phoenix odds from William Hill. Busch is a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Busch made the final eight drivers in the playoffs, but at No. 8 did not advance to the Championship 4.

The 2015 and 2019 NASCAR points champion, Busch has 10 straight top-5 runs at Phoenix – including a victory in the 2019 spring race. Busch captured the 2020 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 three weeks ago in the playoffs, but a ninth-place finish last week at Martinsville wasn't quite enough to vault Busch into the Championship 4. Still, Busch knows how to get to the front and stay there at Phoenix, and he should be a prime choice for this week's 2020 Season Finale 500.

And a massive shocker: Joey Logano, one of the Vegas favorites at 9-2, stumbles big time and fails to crack the top five. There are far better values in this loaded field. The 2018 NASCAR Cup Series champion earned his way into the Championship 4 with a win at Kansas last month and he'll start at the front of the outside row at Phoenix on Sunday after finishing 10th and third in the last two races.

However, Logano has also been up and down at Phoenix Raceway. Logano won the spring race there, but has finished outside the top 10 in five of his last eight starts there. That includes a 37th-place finish there during the penultimate race of his championship season in 2018.

How to make 2020 Season Finale 500 picks

The model is also targeting three other drivers with NASCAR Playoffs at Phoenix odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can only see who they are here.

So who wins Sunday's 2020 Season Finale 500 And which long shots stun NASCAR? Check out the latest odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2020 NASCAR at Phoenix leaderboard, all from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks and nailed the Daytona 500.

2020 NASCAR Playoffs at Phoenix odds (via William Hill)

Denny Hamlin 3-1
Brad Keselowski 7-2
Kevin Harvick 4-1
Joey Logano 9-2
Chase Elliott 9-2
Martin Truex Jr. 7-1
Kyle Busch 12-1
Ryan Blaney 20-1
Alex Bowman 50-1
Kurt Busch 60-1
Aric Almirola 60-1
William Byron 75-1
Jimmie Johnson 75-1
Clint Bowyer 100-1
Austin Dillon 100-1
Erik Jones 100-1
Matt DiBenedetto 100-1
Christopher Bell 150-1
Tyler Reddick 150-1
Cole Custer 150-1
Ryan Newman 300-1
Matt Kenseth 300-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 500-1
Bubba Wallace 1000-1
Chris Buescher 1000-1
Ty Dillon 2500-1
Daniel Suarez 5000-1
Brennan Poole 5000-1
James Davison 5000-1
Garrett Smithley 5000-1
Timmy Hill 5000-1
Corey Lajoie 5000-1
John Hunter Nemechek 5000-1
Ryan Preece 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
Michael McDowell 5000-1
Quin Houff 5000-1
Joey Gase 5000-1