The New York Knicks host the Oklahoma City Thunder at Madison Square Garden on Monday. The Knicks are 25-32 overall and 13-15 at home this season, while the Thunder are 17-39 overall after losing five consecutive contests. Derrick Rose (ankle) and R.J. Barrett (ankle) are out for New York, with Mitchell Robinson (ankle), Nerlens Noel (foot) and Cam Reddish (ankle) listed as questionable. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle), Mike Muscala (ankle), Luguentz Dort (shoulder) and Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (foot) are out for Oklahoma City.

Caesars Sportsbook lists New York as an 10-point home favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the Over-Under, is 208.5 in the latest Thunder vs. Knicks odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Thunder vs. Knicks match-up, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 65-36 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Knicks vs. Thunder, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Thunder vs. Knicks:

  • Knicks vs. Thunder spread: Knicks -10
  • Knicks vs. Thunder over-under: 208.5 points
  • Knicks vs. Thunder money line: Knicks -430, Thunder +330
  • OKC: The Thunder are 19-10 against the spread in road games
  • NYK: The Knicks are 13-15 against the spread in home games
Featured Game | New York Knicks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Why the Knicks can cover

New York has excellent metrics on the defensive end of the floor, especially near the rim. The Knicks are No. 3 in the NBA in points allowed in the paint, giving up only 42.4 per game. New York is No. 6 in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed (44.4 percent), with an above-average mark in two-point defense. The Knicks are also above-average on the defensive glass, securing 73.1 percent of available rebounds, and New York is in the top 10 of the NBA in second-chance points allowed (12.6 per game). 

In addition to New York's own strengths, the Knicks should benefit from Oklahoma City's shortcomings on the offensive end. The Thunder have the worst offensive efficiency in the NBA, scoring only 101.7 points per 100 possessions. Oklahoma City is also last in the league in true shooting percentage, field goal percentage, three-point percentage and assists, with the No. 28 mark in free throw attempts.

Why the Thunder can cover

Oklahoma City has been one of the strongest teams against the spread this year, going 35-19-2. Those 35 covers are the second-most in the league this season, and it also possesses an exceptional 19-10 road record ATS. The Thunder have covered in five of their last six games away from home, and they are elite in road games versus Eastern Conference opponents like the Knicks. Of their 11 games in the home arenas of foes in the East, OKC has covered 10 of those games.

Meanwhile, the Knicks will be shorthanded on Monday as their second-leading scorer in Barrett (18 PPG) will be out. New York is just 3-6 against the spread when Barrett sits, and his absence will even further sink what is the 27th-ranked offense in terms of points per game. OKC is above average in defensive efficiency, ranking 11th, but it is among the top 10 in FG percentage allowed and free throw prevention. Those are good barometers for success against a Knicks team that struggles to find the hoop.

How to make Thunder vs. Knicks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 200 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Thunder vs. Knicks? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.