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The Minnesota Timberwolves visit the New York Knicks in a cross-conference tilt on Tuesday. Both teams are hovering around the .500 mark, with the Wolves at 21-22 overall and 9-12 on the road. The Knicks are 22-22 overall and 11-12 in games at Madison Square Garden. Minnesota is relatively healthy while Nerlens Noel (knee), Cam Reddish (ankle) and Derrick Rose (ankle) are out for the Knicks, with Kemba Walker (knee) questionable.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Minnesota as a three-point road favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the Over-Under, is 215 in the latest Wolves vs. Knicks odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Wolves vs. Knicks match-up, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 56-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Knicks vs. Timberwolves, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Timberwolves vs. Knicks:

  • Knicks vs. Timberwolves spread: T'Wolves -3
  • Knicks vs. Timberwolves over-under: 215 points
  • Knicks vs. Timberwolves money line: T'Wolves -160, Knicks +140
  • MINN: The Wolves are 6-3 against the spread in the last nine games
  • NYK: The Knicks are 5-2 against the spread in the last seven games
Featured Game | New York Knicks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Why the Timberwolves can cover

Minnesota dealt with numerous COVID-19 absences earlier in the season but it is currently as healthy as it's been all year. The top 11 players for the Timberwolves, both in terms of minutes per game and points per game, are not even listed on the injury report, while New York will be undermanned. The Timberwolves are 17-11 when the trio of Karl-Anthony Towns, Anthony Edwards and D'Angelo Russell are in the lineup, as will be the case tonight, versus a 4-11 record when at least one doesn't play.

Minnesota has one of the youngest teams in the league and that youth and athleticism shows in the team's activity on the defensive end. The Wolves rank in the top five in both steals per game and blocks per game, and they force more turnovers (17.0 per game) than any other team in the league. With the Knicks ranking 27th in scoring, losing possessions to Minnesota will be too much for New York to overcome.

Why the Knicks can cover

The Knicks have their own strengths, but the weaknesses of Minnesota are also worth noting. The Wolves are third-worst in the NBA in ball security on offense, ranking No. 24 in the league in both field goal percentage and free throw percentage. On the other end, Minnesota is dead-last in the league in free throw attempts allowed and defensive rebound rate, securing only 70 percent of missed shots from opponents. 

The Knicks are very good in key areas on offense, headlined by offensive rebounding. New York has a 28.6 percent offensive rebound rate, and the Knicks average 14.2 second-chance points per game. The Knicks also take care of the ball, committing only 13.3 turnovers per game, and New York is potent from three-point range, making 36.0 percent of attempts and converting 13.1 three-pointers per game. With the Knicks also allowing only 104.5 points per game on defense, that is a strong baseline for success.

How to make Timberwolves vs. Knicks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 221 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Knicks vs. Timberwolves? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.