The Los Angeles Lakers visit Texas to take on the Dallas Mavericks in a nationally televised clash on Wednesday night. The Lakers are 3-1 in the last four games, improving to 15-13 overall this season. The Mavericks are also 3-1 in the last four, posting a 14-13 record and a 7-6 home mark in 2021-22. Anthony Davis (knee) is listed as questionable for the Lakers, with LeBron James (abdominal) listed as probable. Luka Doncic (ankle) is out for Dallas, with Dwight Howard (protocols), Malik Monk (protocols), Talen Horton-Tucker (protocols), Kendrick Nunn (knee) and Trevor Ariza (ankle) out for Los Angeles.
Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Dallas. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Lakers as two-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 212.5 in the latest Lakers vs. Mavericks odds. Before you make any Mavericks vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 44-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Mavericks and locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavericks vs. Lakers:
- Lakers vs. Mavericks spread: Mavericks +2
- Lakers vs. Mavericks over-under: 212.5 points
- Lakers vs. Mavericks money line: Lakers -130, Mavericks +110
- LAL: The Lakers are 5-6 against the spread in 2021-22 road games
- DAL: The Mavericks are 4-9 against the spread in home games
Why the Lakers can cover
Los Angeles is playing improved basketball recently, with the Lakers out-scoring opponents by 5.9 points per 100 possessions in December. A lot of that work is done on the defensive side, with the Lakers holding opponents to 107.6 points per 100 possessions for the season and only 106.1 points per 100 possessions this month. Opponents are shooting only 44.7 percent from the field and 34.0 percent from 3-point range against Los Angeles, and Dallas is a bottom-10 team in shooting efficiency and free throw creation.
The Lakers also create havoc by forcing teams into tough positions, with Los Angeles generating 15.8 turnovers per game, a top-six figure, to go along with 8.7 steals (No. 7 in NBA) and 5.9 blocks (No. 4 in NBA) per game in 2021-22. The Lakers are in the top five in field goal percentage on offense, and Dallas struggles to create chaos with bottom-six marks in steals and blocks.
Why the Mavericks can cover
Dallas takes care of the ball at an elite level, setting the tone for the team's offensive approach. The Mavericks lead the NBA in avoiding turnovers, committing only 12.2 per game, and Dallas also leads the league in points allowed off turnovers at 13.7 per contest. Dallas generates 1.85 assists for every turnover, a top-eight figure, and the Mavericks are above-average in two-point accuracy (53.2 percent) and 3-pointers (12.5 per game). Los Angeles ranks No. 27 in the NBA in assists allowed and No. 24 in defensive rebounding, both of which could open positive doors for Dallas.
On defense, the Mavericks are firmly in the top 10 in keeping opponents away from the free throw line. The Lakers also shoot a low percentage at the stripe, ranking just No. 28 in the NBA in free throw accuracy, and Los Angeles is No. 28 in the NBA in turnovers per game on the offensive end.
How to make Mavericks vs. Lakers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting these two teams will combine for 216 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Lakers vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.