Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks host the Brooklyn Nets for a high-profile matchup on Friday evening. The Hawks are 13-12 this season, though Atlanta is 9-3 in the last 12 games. Brooklyn is 17-8 overall and leading the Eastern Conference. Kyrie Irving (personal) and Joe Harris (ankle) remain out for the Nets. Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) and De'Andre Hunter (wrist) are out for the Hawks, with Cam Reddish (wrist) listed as probable.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Atlanta as a 2.5-point home favorite for this 7:30 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is up to 227 in the latest Nets vs. Hawks odds. Before locking in any Hawks vs. Nets picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2021-22 NBA season up almost $2,000 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 121-78 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Hawks and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Hawks vs. Nets:
- Nets vs. Hawks spread: Hawks -2.5
- Nets vs. Hawks over-under: 227 points
- Nets vs. Hawks money line: Hawks -135, Nets +115
- BKN: The Nets are 9-15-1 against the spread in 2021-22
- ATL: The Hawks are 11-14 against the spread this season
Why the Nets can cover
Brooklyn's defense has been highly impressive this season. The Nets are allowing only 106.4 points per 100 possessions, with top-two marks in the NBA in field-goal shooting allowed (43.0 percent) and 3-point shooting allowed (30.5 percent). Opponents are producing only 21.9 assists per game against Brooklyn. On the offensive end, the Nets are above-average in myriad categories, including a top-five shooting efficiency mark in the NBA.
Brooklyn is averaging 21.7 free-throw attempts per game and making 80.8 percent of those attempts, garnering value at the line overall. The Nets are also No. 6 in the NBA in assists, with the Hawks ranking just No. 25 in assists allowed on defense. Finally, Atlanta is last in the league in turnover creation this season, and Brooklyn can operate in aggressive fashion with knowledge that the Hawks are not opportunistic on that side of the ball.
Why the Hawks can cover
The Hawks are flying high on offense, scoring more than 1.13 points per possession this season. Young makes everything click for Atlanta, averaging 26.3 points and 9.4 assists per game, and the Hawks are No. 1 in the NBA in turnover rate at 12.4 percent. Atlanta has an impressive assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.98 this season, and the Hawks are in the top six in overall shooting efficiency with the league's best 3-point accuracy (38.6 percent).
The Hawks also put pressure on opponents with a 27.2 percent offensive rebound rate, and the Nets rank in the bottom five of the NBA in turnover creation on defense. Defensively, Atlanta is in the top five of the league in free-throw prevention, allowing opponents to attempt only 17.8 shots per game at the line, and the Hawks are in the top five in second-chance points allowed at 11.9 per game. Brooklyn currently ranks as the worst offensive rebounding team in basketball, and Atlanta should be able to close out possessions when forcing a missed shot.
How to make Hawks vs. Nets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 222 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nets vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.