Smoothie King Center hosts a nationally televised matchup between the New Orleans Pelicans and Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. The tilt pits top-tier Western Conference teams together, with Memphis entering at 9-5 overall this season. The Grizzlies are 4-4 on the road, including a road loss to Washington on Sunday, while New Orleans is 3-2 at home and 7-6 overall. Zion Williamson (ankle/foot) is listed as questionable for New Orleans, with Desmond Bane (toe) and Ziaire Williams (knee) out for Memphis, while Jaren Jackson Jr. (foot) is questionable.

Caesars Sportsbook lists New Orleans as a 3.5-point favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 228.5 in the latest Grizzlies vs. Pelicans odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Pelicans vs. Grizzlies match-up, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 100-66 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Grizzlies vs. Pelicans and locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Pelicans vs. Grizzlies:

  • Grizzlies vs. Pelicans spread: Pelicans -3.5
  • Grizzlies vs. Pelicans over/under: 228.5 points
  • Grizzlies vs. Pelicans money line: Pelicans -165, Grizzlies +140
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 3-3 against the spread in the last six games
  • NO: The Pelicans are 2-5 against the spread in the last seven games
  • Grizzlies vs. Pelicans picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Memphis is an excellent offensive team. With Ja Morant leading the way, the Grizzlies are in the top 10 of the NBA in offensive efficiency, scoring 113.2 points per 100 possessions. Memphis is dynamic on the offensive glass, ranking in the top three of the NBA in offensive rebound rate (34.1%) and leading the league with 17.9 second-chance points per game. 

Memphis attacks the bucket relentlessly, producing 55.4 points in the paint per game, and the Grizzlies are in the top eight of the NBA in fast break points (16.0 per game) and 3-point accuracy (37.1%). The Grizzlies are also facing a Pelicans team that is in the bottom five of the league in 2-point defense this season, and Morant is averaging more than 28 points per game. Memphis is also below-average in field goal percentage allowed and 2-point percentage allowed on defense.

Why the Pelicans can cover

New Orleans has the better defensive profile this season. While Memphis is below-average in the NBA in defensive efficiency, New Orleans ranks in the top 10 of the league in allowing only 110.5 points per 100 possessions. The Pelicans are yielding only 32.9% 3P shooting to opponents, a top-five figure, and New Orleans is creating 15.9 turnovers per game. New Orleans is in the top 10 in FT attempts allowed (21.6 per game) and defensive rebound rate (73.0%), with Memphis landing dead-last in the NBA in FT accuracy (71.1%) on offense.

On the opposite end, New Orleans is producing at an elite level, and Memphis is in the bottom third of the NBA in defensive efficiency. That includes the No. 24 mark in the NBA in 3P allowed, and New Orleans puts consistent pressure on the rim with the sixth-best FG percentage (47.9%) in the NBA.

How to make Pelicans vs. Grizzlies picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 231 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Grizzlies vs. Pelicans? And which side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.