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The Boston Celtics welcome the Golden State Warriors to TD Garden on Friday. Golden State enters with the best record in the NBA at 23-5, with a 9-3 mark in road games. Boston is 14-14 to begin the 2021-22 campaign. Al Horford, Grant Williams and Jabari Parker (health and safety protocols) are out for Boston in this matchup. Klay Thompson (Achilles) and James Wiseman (knee) remain sidelined for Golden State, while Jordan Poole (protocols) is also out.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a 3.5-point road favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the Over-Under, is 217 in the latest odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Warriors vs. Celtics match-up, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 44-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Celtics and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Celtics vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Celtics spread: Warriors -3.5
  • Warriors vs. Celtics over-under: 217 points
  • Warriors vs. Celtics money line: Warriors -160, Celtics +140
  • GSW: The Warriors are 7-5 against the spread in road games
  • BOS: The Celtics are 5-6 against the spread in home games
Featured Game | Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State's defense is in a league of its own this season. The Warriors are allowing 100.2 points per 100 possessions, more than three points fewer than any other team in the NBA. The Warriors also lead the NBA in field goal percentage allowed (42.2 percent) and defensive rebound rate (75.6 percent), with top-three marks in assists allowed (21.3 per game) and second-chance points allowed (11.5 per game). Golden State is creating 15.7 turnovers per game, ranking in the top five of the NBA, and the Warriors wall off the rim in allowing only 40.7 points in the paint per game. 

On offense, Stephen Curry leads a group that ranks in the top five in overall efficiency, scoring 111.8 points per 100 possessions. The Warriors are also No. 2 in shooting efficiency and leading the league in assists and assist percentage in 2021-22.

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston's defense is quite strong, and the Celtics have the mobility to match up with the Warriors. The Celtics are allowing only 107.1 points per 100 possessions, a top-10 mark in the NBA, and opponents are shooting only 44.3 percent against Boston. The Celtics are also No. 3 in the league in assists allowed (21.8 per game), with top-10 marks in defensive rebound rate (73.7 percent), blocked shots (5.5 per game), second-chance points allowed (12.1 per game) and points allowed in the paint (43.7 per game). 

Golden State's biggest issue on either end is ball security, committing 16.0 turnovers per game and that helps Boston's projection on defense. The Celtics also utilize the free-throw line well on offense, taking 21.4 attempts per game and making 81.6 percent of shots at the charity stripe. Both free-throw marks rank in the top five of the NBA, and the Celtics are in the top 10 in turnover avoidance, committing a giveaway on 13.8 percent of possessions.

How to make Celtics vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total. The model also says one side of the spread has all of the value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.