The 2023 NCAA Tournament features the No. 4 seed Connecticut Huskies and the No. 8 seed Arkansas Razorbacks linking up in a Sweet 16 matchup on Thursday. UConn is looking to advance to the Elite Eight for the first time since 2014. Meanwhile, Arkansas has played in the Elite Eight in the past two years. UConn has won eight of its last nine games overall. The Razorbacks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games. Arkansas guard Anthony Black is expected to play despite dealing with a foot injury. 

Tipoff from Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is set for 7:15 p.m. ET on CBS. The Huskies are 4-point favorites in the latest Arkansas vs. UConn odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 139.5. Before locking in any UConn vs. Arkansas picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the Sweet 16 round of the 2023 NCAA Tournament 83-54 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,500 for $100 players. It also went 4-1 on top-rated picks during the first week of March Madness. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Arkansas vs. UConn and revealed its coveted picks and predictions for the NCAA Tournament 2023. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for UConn vs. Arkansas:

  • Arkansas vs. UConn: Huskies -4
  • Arkansas vs. UConn over/under: 139.5 points
  • Arkansas vs. UConn money line: Huskies -190, Razorbacks +158
  • ARK: The Razorbacks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games
  • CONN: The Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall
  • Arkansas vs. UConn picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why UConn can cover

Junior forward Adama Sanogo is a tremendous power player for the Huskies. Sanogo offers such a soft touch around the rim with the strength to overpower defenders. The native of Mali has been an anchor through the first two games in the tournament. He's scored at least 24 points in back-to-back games. In the first-round win over Iona, Sanogo dropped 28 points and 13 rebounds.

Sophomore guard Jordan Hawkins has been another smooth-scoring option. Hawkins owns superb shooting range and is able to catch fire in a hurry. The Maryland native has scored at least 13 points with 3 3-pointers in consecutive games. On Friday against Iona, Hawkins dropped 13 points and went 3-of-7 from downtown.

Why Arkansas can cover 

Freshman guard Nick Smith Jr. is a smooth and bouncy scoring option in the backcourt who has a lot of NBA upside. Smith owns a long wingspan that allows him to shoot right over defenders. The Arkansas native averages 12.6 points and 1.8 assists per contest. He has scored 20-plus points in three of his last eight games. On March 4 against Kentucky, Smith logged 25 points, six assists and four steals.

Junior guard Davonte Davis has been another explosive scorer. Davis possesses a quick first step and gets to the rim with ease. The Arkansas native excels in transition, absorbing contact at the rim. He averages 11.1 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. On Saturday against Kansas, he totaled 25 points and eight boards. 

How to make Arkansas vs. UConn picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 144 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 60% of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins UConn vs. Arkansas? And which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.