The North Carolina Tar Heels can strengthen their case to receive an at-large bid to the 2023 NCAA Tournament when they square off against the Boston College Eagles in the second round of the ACC Tournament on Wednesday at Greensboro Coliseum in Greensboro, North Carolina. Ranked No. 1 in the country in the preseason AP Top 25, the Tar Heels (19-12) enter the ACC Tournament widely considered a bubble team for an at-large bid and cannot afford a loss on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Eagles (16-16) are coming off a convincing 80-62 victory over Louisville in a first round matchup on Tuesday.
Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Tar Heels are favored by 11.5 points in the latest North Carolina vs. Boston College odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 138. Before making any Boston College vs. North Carolina picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on UNC vs. Boston College and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for Boston College vs. UNC:
- North Carolina vs. Boston College spread: Tar Heels -11.5
- North Carolina vs. Boston College over/under: 138 points
- North Carolina vs. Boston College money line: Tar Heels -700, Eagles +500
- UNC: The Tar Heels rank seventh in the nation in rebounds per game (39.9)
- BC: The Eagles lead the ACC in bench scoring (19.4 points per game)
- North Carolina vs. Boston College picks: See picks here
Why North Carolina can cover
North Carolina faces a Boston College team that may be without its best player, Quinten Post. A 7-foot senior from the Netherlands, who was named the ACC's Most Improved Player, Post did not play in the Eagles' victory on Tuesday over Louisville because of a sprained ankle. If he cannot play on Wednesday – or is less than 100% – that would be a significant loss for Boston College since Post leads the team in scoring (15.2 points per game) and rebounding (5.7) and shoots 53.8% from the field.
In addition, the Tar Heels have dominated the series against Boston College recently. North Carolina has won three straight and 15 of the last 16 games against the Eagles, including a 72-64 victory in Chapel Hill on Jan. 17.
Why Boston College can cover
Boston College has arguably the most effective bench in the conference. The Eagles receive 19.4 points per game from their bench, which is the most of any team in the ACC. Senior CJ Penha Jr. is the leading scorer among players who did not start at least half of the team's games, averaging 6.5 points per game. On Wednesday, Boston College will face a North Carolina team that ranks last in the ACC and 338th in the country in bench points (11.8 points per game).
In addition, the Eagles take on a Tar Heels team that struggles from behind the 3-point arc. North Carolina ranks last in the conference in 3-point shooting percentage at 30.9%.
How to make Boston College vs. UNC picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting 139 combined points. It has also generated an against the spread pick that hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only get the model's picks at SportsLine.
So who wins North Carolina vs. Boston College? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned nearly $1,200 on its college basketball picks this season, and find out.