Ten Kentucky Derby qualifying points are at stake on Saturday when eight three-year-old colts and geldings square off in the 2020 Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs. The undefeated Independence Hall, a son of red-hot sire Constitution, is the 6-5 favorite in the current 2020 Sam F. Davis Stakes odds. The Jorge Navarro-trained Premier Star is the second-biggest favorite at 3-1, while the Kiaran McLaughlin-trained Ajaaweed is getting 4-1 Sam F. Davis odds.

The Davis is the 11th race on Saturday's 12-race card, which features four stakes races. Post time comes at 5:29 p.m. ET. Before making any 2020 Sam F. Davis Stakes picks, you'll want to see the surprising horse racing predictions from SportsLine's Jody Demling.

A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about and betting on races for years, Demling crushed the Kentucky Derby prep races last year. In April, he scored the exacta and trifecta in the Santa Anita Derby, Blue Grass Stakes and Wood Memorial on the same day. One week later, he hit the same bets in the Arkansas Derby.

And last week, when making his first picks for the 2020 Derby prep season, Demling had the exacta, trifecta and superfecta in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes, turning a $51 investment into $154.50. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

2020 Sam F. Davis Stakes predictions

Now, he has analyzed the 2020 Sam F. Davis Stakes field and revealed where every horse will finish. You can head to SportsLine to see his full projected leaderboard. 

Demling is not high on Premier Star, even though he's the second choice on the morning line at 3-1. In fact, Demling says Premier Star doesn't even hit the board. Premier Star is a perfect 2-for-2 in his young career, with both races coming at seven furlongs at Gulfstream Park. He is projected to be on or near the pace in a race lacking much early speed. 

But his trainer, Navarro, has been unusually cold over the last two weeks. Navarro has just three winners among his last 27 starters over the last 14 days for a 11.1 winning percentage, far below his 27.6 winning percentage over the last year. In addition, the quality of the horses Premier Star has faced is in question.

How to make 2020 Sam F. Davis Stakes picks

However, Demling is high on a long shot to get the proper pace setup and hit the board. He's including this horse in his exactas, trifectas and superfectas, and so should you. He's sharing which horse to back, and his entire projected 2020 Sam F. Davis Stakes leaderboard, only at SportsLine.

Which horse wins the Sam F. Davis Stakes 2020? Which long shot will hit the board? And where does every horse finish? Check out the latest Sam F. Davis Stakes odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Demling's picks for the Sam F. Davis Stakes.

Independence Hall 6-5
Premier Star 3-1
Ajaaweed 4-1
Sole Volante 8-1
Chapalu 8-1
Albert Park 15-1
No Getting Over Me 20-1
Tiz Rye Time 20-1