The Miami Heat will take on the New Orleans Pelicans at 8:30 p.m. ET on Thursday at Smoothie King Center. New Orleans is 15-20 overall and 10-8 at home, while the Heat are 17-18 overall and 7-10 on the road. The Heat beat the Pelicans 111-98 in the most recent meeting on Dec. 25. 

New Orleans is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Pelicans vs. Heat odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 227.5. Before entering any Heat vs. Pelicans picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up nearly $8,500 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 11 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 85-52 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Pelicans vs. Heat. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Heat vs. Pelicans:

  • Pelicans vs. Heat spread: Pelicans -2.5
  • Pelicans vs. Heat over-under: 227.5 points
Latest Odds: New Orleans Pelicans +2

What you need to know about the Pelicans

New Orleans lost 128-124 to the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday. Zion Williamson had 28 points and five assists along with nine rebounds. He missed half of his 16 free throw attempts. Williamson (toe) is doubtful to be in the lineup for this matchup.

JJ Redick scored 22 points off the bench against the Bulls. He is questionable for Thursday's game because of a heel injury. The Pelicans nearly overcame an 18-point fourth quarter deficit on Wednesday but could not get within more than four points late in the game. The Pelicans missed 16 of 22 three-point attempts and 12 of 38 free attempts.    

What you need to know about the Heat

The Heat fell 94-80 to the Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday. Kendrick Nunn logged 35 minutes but put up just six points on 3-for-12 shooting from the field. Miami saw a six-game winning streak come to an end. The Heat failed in an attempt to get over .500 for the first time this season. 

The 80 points scored was Miami's lowest total of the season. The Heat missed 24 of 33 3-point attempts. They were outrebounded 47-26, the team's biggest rebounding deficit of the season. Jimmy Butler (knee) did not play on Tuesday but is expected to return for this matchup. Bam Adebayo (knee) has been ruled out for Thursday.

How to make Heat vs. Pelicans picks

The model has simulated Pelicans vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning under on the total, and it also has generated a pick that hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Heat vs. Pelicans? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. Pelicans spread to jump on Thursday, all from the model that is on an incredible 85-52 roll.