NCAA Basketball: Kansas State at Baylor

The No. 17 TCU Horned Frogs will be on the road for the third time in four games when they face the No. 12 Kansas State Wildcats on Tuesday night. TCU is coming off a 79-73 loss at Oklahoma State, falling to fourth place in the Big 12 standings. Kansas State has lost three of its last four games and is also in fourth place in the conference. 

Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET. The Wildcats are favored by 4.5 points in the latest Kansas State vs. TCU odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 148. Before entering any TCU vs. Kansas State picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 14 of the season 57-37 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,000 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Kansas State vs. TCU. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for TCU vs. Kansas State:

  • Kansas State vs. TCU spread: Kansas State -4.5
  • Kansas State vs. TCU over/under: 148 points
  • Kansas State vs. TCU money line: Kansas State -210, TCU +175
  • Kansas State vs. TCU picks: See picks here
Featured Game | Kansas State Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs

Why Kansas State can cover

Kansas State has picked up some impressive wins at home this season, including victories over then-No. 24 West Virginia and then-No. 2 Kansas. The Wildcats are on their first two-game losing streak of the season, but they led Texas by 14 points in the first half before allowing a 14-4 run to open the second half. They held the lead with just over a minute remaining in that loss as 1-point underdogs. 

Senior forward Keyontae Johnson leads Kansas State with 18.1 points and 7.7 rebounds per game, recording double-doubles in four of his last five games. Senior guard Markquis Nowell is scoring 16.8 points and is dishing out a Big 12-best 7.8 assists per game, while junior forward Nae'Qwan Tomlin is adding 10.4 points. Kansas State has covered the spread in 11 of its last 15 games and is 11-1 straight up in its last 12 home games. 

Why TCU can cover

TCU is coming off a loss at Oklahoma State, but it was able to erase a 19-point, second-half deficit and take a late lead before falling in a 79-73 final. The Horned Frogs are playing without leading scorer Mike Miles Jr. due to a hyperextended right knee, but they still have two other players scoring in double figures. Senior forward Emanuel Miller is scoring 13.2 points and grabbing 6.4 rebounds, while senior guard Damion Baugh is adding 12.8 points, 5.2 assists and 4.2 rebounds. 

Miller led the way with 17 points on 7 of 13 shooting against Oklahoma State. Baugh (12), JaKobe Coles (15), Shahada Wells (14) and Chuck O'Bannon Jr. (11) each reached double figures in that game as well. TCU has covered the spread at a 12-5-1 clip in its last 18 games this season, covering in five of its last seven conference games. 

How to make Kansas State vs. TCU picks

The model has simulated TCU vs. Kansas State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Kansas State vs. TCU? And which side of the spread is hitting well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is 57-37 on its top-rated college basketball picks this season, and find out.