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Florida State (5-6) goes on the road to play Florida (5-6) in an early afternoon contest on Saturday as these in-state rivals are playing for bowl eligibility. This matchup features two great ground attacks. Florida State is fifth in the ACC and averages 180.8 rushing yards per game. Florida is third in the SEC with 215.5 rushing yards per game. The Gators, however, have struggled overall down the stretch and they fired coach Dan Mullen this week. Greg Knox will serve as the interim head coach on Saturday.

Kickoff at The Swamp is scheduled for noon ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Gators as three-point home favorites in the latest Florida State vs. Florida odds. The over-under for total points is set at 58.5. Before making any Florida vs. FSU picks, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on a 39-25 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on FSU vs. Florida and just released its CFB picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Florida vs. FSU:

  • Florida State vs. Florida spread: Florida -3
  • Florida State vs. Florida over-under: 58.5 points 
  • Florida State vs. Florida money line: Florida State +140, Florida -160
  • UF: The Gators 3-7 ATS overall, but 3-1 ATS at home 
  • FSU: Seminoles are 10-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
Featured Game | Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles

Why Florida can cover

The Gators will need to impose their will up front to slow down Florida State's rushing attack. Florida has three players with at least 6.5 tackles for loss. Redshirt senior defensive lineman Zachary Carter leads this unit in tackles for loss (11.5) and sacks (8). The Florida native has consistently caused havoc for opponents, recording at least one tackle for loss in six games this season.

Redshirt sophomore linebacker Ty'Ron Hopper is third on the team with 52 total tackles with 2.5 sacks. Hopper is second on the team with eight tackles for loss. He logged a season-high 15 total tackles with four tackles for loss in the overtime loss to Missouri. Redshirt junior linebacker Brenton Cox Jr. is second on the team in tackles for loss (6.5) and sacks (3.5). Cox Jr. has finished with one sack and one tackle for loss in the past two games. 

Why Florida State can cover

Sophomore quarterback Jordan Travis has completed 63 percent of his passes for 1,337 yards with 14 passing touchdowns. Travis added 428 yards on the ground with six scores. The Florida native played well the past two weeks against Miami (FL) and Boston College. Travis went 38-of-60 for 525 yards with three passing touchdowns. He also had 88 rushing yards and two scores. 

Sophomore running back Jashaun Corbin is sixth in the ACC with 877 yards on 137 carries. He also has seven rushing touchdowns on the year. Corbin has rushed for over 100 yards in four games thus far. His best performance came against Louisville, where he recorded 11 carries for 159 yards and a touchdown. This duo can help march Florida State up and down the field. 

How to make Florida State vs. Florida picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 55 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Florida vs. Florida State pick at SportsLine

So who wins Florida vs. FSU? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.