The Utah Jazz will take on the Miami Heat at 5 p.m. ET Saturday at Vivint Arena in the first NBA tipoff of the day. Utah is 8-4 overall and 4-1 at home, while Miami is 7-5 overall and 3-4 on the road. Both have been good teams to bet on this season. The Heat are 8-4 against the spread and Utah has a profitable 7-5 ATS mark.
Utah is favored by 7.5 points in the latest Jazz vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total points is set at 213.5. Before entering any Heat vs. Jazz picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 4 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $500 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 110-73 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Jazz vs. Heat spread: Jazz -7.5
- Jazz vs. Heat over-under: 214 points
What you need to know about the Jazz
The Jazz fell 111-100 to the Pacers on Thursday. It was the first home loss of the season for Utah. Despite the defeat, Utah got a solid performance out of shooting guard Donovan Mitchell, who had 26 points in addition to five boards. Mitchell leads the team with 25.9 points per game and he's the main source of offense since no other player averages more than 17 points per game.
Rudy Gobert is an all-around presence who averages 15 points, 12.3 rebounds and 1.8 block per game. Bojan Bogdanovic averages 16.3 points per game, while veteran guards Mike Conley (14.7 ppg) and Jordan Clarkson (14.3 ppg) are among the other leading scorers on the team.
What you need to know about the Heat
Meanwhile, the Heat fell 112-109 to the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday. Miami was up 40-25 at the end of the first quarter but couldn't hold on to the lead. Shooting guard Duncan Robinson had a tough game, playing for 26 minutes but putting up just six points on 2-for-13 shooting.
Jimmy Butler is the team's leading scorer with 23.6 points per game, but he's questionable for this one (ankle). If he can't go, that'll put a lot more on the plate of Tyler Herro (21.1 ppg) and Bam Adebayo (20.3 pgg), who has a tough matchup against Gobert in this one.
How to make Jazz vs. Heat picks
The model is leaning under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine here to see the pick, all from the model that's crushed its NBA picks.