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Molineux Stadium hosts a high-level battle on Saturday in Wolverhampton. England welcomes Italy for a UEFA Nations League match between traditional powers. Italy defeated England in a high-profile championship match at the 2020 Euros. England tries to avenge that defeat in the rematch and improve the squad's overall standing. 

Kickoff is scheduled for 2:45 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists England as the -108 favorite (risk $108 to win $100) in its latest England vs. Italy odds. Italy is a +320 underdog, a draw is priced at +235, and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any England vs. Italy picks or UEFA Nations League predictions, be sure to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green is saying.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated over $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has taken an in-depth look at England vs. Italy, and just locked in his coveted soccer picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines for Italy vs. England:

  • England vs. Italy money line: England -108, Draw +235, Italy +320
  • England vs. Italy spread: England -0.5 
  • England vs. Italy over-under: 2.5 goals

Why you should back England

England is performing well, and the Three Lions should benefit from Italy's recent form. Italy has only four wins in the last 12 matches across all competitions, including a recent loss to North Macedonia that cost the Italians a berth in the 2022 World Cup. While Italy has the recent high-profile win over England at the 2020 Euros, only three players from that starting 11 are on Italy's side for this match. Italy will be missing a bevy of key players, including Federico Chiesa, Ciro Immobile, Jorginho, Leonardo Bonucci, and Marco Verratti.

In contrast, England finished at the top of its World Cup qualifying group with eight wins, two draws, and no losses across 10 matches. England also has the edge in playing at home, with an active 15-match unbeaten streak on local soil. From there, England has not endured a three-match winless streak in several years, and England has only one such downturn under the tenure of Gareth Southgate. With the revenge factor also in play, England is the favorite for a reason.

Why you should back Italy

Italy defeated England in the Euro final, and the Italians lead the all-time series with 12 wins, eight losses, and eight draws. Italy has only one loss in the last nine meetings against England, and sits atop the group right now in the UEFA Nations League. With a win over Hungary and a high-level draw against Germany, Italy's youth movement is showing upside, and Lorenzo Pellegrini is an exciting player. He has scored in his last two matches for Italy, and he has four goals in Nations League action. 

England just suffered its first loss to Hungary in more than six decades, and England was fortunate to emerge with a draw against Germany. England has only one win in its last five matches in the Nations League, with three shutouts in that span. England also has injury uncertainty with standout Kalvin Phillips, who was forced off the pitch with a leg issue against Germany.

How to make England vs. Italy picks

Green has taken an intensive look at the England vs. Italy matchup. He is leaning over on the goal total, and he has locked on three best bets, including one that returns more than 2-1. He's only sharing those picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Italy vs. England in Saturday's matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the England vs. Italy match, all from the expert who is red-hot on his soccer picks, and find out.