Even making the 2022 FIFA World Cup quarterfinals is an enormous achievement, but for the eight teams who will be playing on Friday and Saturday, having a trophy ceremony within reach has adjusted expectations. Those expectations are something that defending World Cup champions France, two-time champions Argentina and five-time champions Brazil are all used to, but four teams in the World Cup quarterfinals have never won the tournament, while England haven't won it all since 1966. So how will England, Croatia, Netherlands, Portugal and Morocco handle the bright lights that come with playing in the Round of Eight in Qatar?

The latest 2022 FIFA World Cup quarterfinal odds from Caesars Sportsbook list Brazil, Argentina, Portgual and France as the favorites in their respective matches. However, which of the underdogs (Croatia, Netherlands, Morocco and England) are looking like the best values as you place your 2022 World Cup quarterfinal bets? Before locking in any 2022 FIFA World Cup quarterfinal picks, you need to see what the advanced computer model at SportsLine has to say about the biggest soccer competition in the world.

The SportsLine soccer simulation model evaluates a team's offensive and defensive capabilities based on the game situation. Then, it assigns a grade using an expected payout-to-probability ratio. The model was accurate on 56% of all picks during the Champions League group stage and returned more than $1,000 to $100 bettors on its A+ picks. It also entered the World Cup knockout stage on a 25-11-4 run on spread picks, returning more than $1,100 for $100 bettors.  Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model, which analyzed every World Cup 2022 quarterfinal match, has locked in its soccer picks for the 2022 FIFA World Cup. It has provided simulations of every contest and decided which teams are most likely to progress through to the semifinals of the World Cup 2022. See them here now.

Top 2022 FIFA World Cup quarterfinal picks

One team that you should back confidently, according to the model: Brazil to win as -275 favorites (risk $275 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line against Croatia in a 10 a.m. ET kickoff on Friday. The top-ranked team in the FIFA World Rankings earned a valuable breather in the group stage by winning their first two matches over Serbia and Switzerland to wrap up Group G early.

That allowed them to rest several key players in the final match against Cameroon, and while they lost that match with a heavily rotated squad, they wound up looking refreshed in the Round of 16 against South Korea. Vinicius Jr., Richarlison, Neymar and Lucas Paqueta all found the back of the net in the first half as the Brazilians cruised to a 4-1 victory and they were able to use their subs late to give Neymar, Alisson, Vinicius, Danilo and Eder Militao added rest.

Now they'll take on a Croatian squad that is coming off a grueling match against Japan to open up the knockout rounds. The two teams played to a 1-1 draw and spent 130 minutes on the pitch with added time before winning 3-1 in a shootout. That's why the model is expecting Brazil's fresh legs to prevail on Friday, listing Brazil to win in regulation as its top-rated pick of the quarterfinals. Click here for more 2022 World Cup quarterfinal picks.

How to make 2022 World Cup quarterfinal predictions

The model has made the call on who wins every other quarterfinal match and it's identified a favorite who loses outright. Nailing these picks could be key to winning big with your 2022 World Cup picks. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So who wins each quarterfinal match at the 2022 FIFA World Cup? And which favorite suffers a shocking defeat? Visit SportsLine here to see which teams you should be backing in the 2022 FIFA World Cup quarterfinals, all from a powerful projection model that has taken into account every aspect of the World Cup 2022, and find out.

2022 World Cup quarterfinals odds, schedule, games 

Friday, 12/9

10 a.m. ET: Brazil vs. Croatia (Brazil -275, Croatia +700, Draw +390)

2 p.m. ET Argentina vs. Netherlands (Argentina +122, Netherlands +250, Draw +390)

Saturday, 12/10

10 a.m. ET: Morocco vs. Portugal (Portugal -150, Morocco +440, Draw +260)

2 p.m. ET: France vs. England (France +140, England +205, Draw +215)