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Manchester City will try to score an emphatic home victory to secure its second consecutive English Premier League title on Sunday when it hosts Aston Villa. City (28-6-3) survived a scare last weekend against West Ham to manage a 2-2 draw. That brings it into the season's final day with a one-point lead on Liverpool, with the Reds set to take on Wolves at the same time Sunday. A City win would secure the title, so Pep Guardiola will throw all of his resources at the Villans, who have little to play for aside from pride. Villa (13-6-18) is in the 14th spot in the Premier League table, but it has a few dangerous attackers and aims to pull off a huge surprise.

Kickoff is set for 11 a.m. ET at Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England. Caesars Sportsbook lists Man City as the -600 favorite (risk $600 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Manchester City vs. Aston Villa odds. Villa is a +1600 underdog, a draw is +650, and the over-under for total goals scored 3.5. Before making any Manchester City vs. West Ham picks or EPL predictions, you need to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down Man City vs. Aston Villa from every angle and just revealed his picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Aston Villa vs. Man City:

  • Man City vs. Aston Villa spread: City -2.5 (+120)
  • Man City vs. Aston Villa over-under: 3.5 goals
  • Man City vs. Aston Villa money line: City -600, Aston Villa +1600, Draw +650
  • Man City: Phil Foden has 24 goals in 96 career games with the team.
  • Villa: Ollie Watkins has double-digit goals in six straight club seasons.

Why you should back Manchester City

The Citizens will be desperate to win some glory after crashing out in the semifinals of both the FA Cup and the Champions League. That made for a long season, but they actually come in more rested. They played to the draw with West Ham last Sunday, while Villa had a make-up game with Burnley on Thursday. That means City will have its full complement of stars, and there are many for Guardiola to choose from. Kevin De Bruyne was just named the EPL PLayer of the Year for the second time on Friday, and he has 15 goals this season, nine of those coming at the Etihad.

The star midfielder also plays a huge role in setting up his teammates, posting seven assists and leading the league in shot-creating actions per game (5.54). He makes talented players like Raheem Sterling (13 goals), Riyad Mahrez (11) and Phil Foden (nine) even better. City has not lost to Aston Villa since 2013, going 11-1-0 in all competitions, and it has outscored the Villans 11-0 in the last three at home. The Citizens are plus-42 in goal differential at home this season, while Villa has 10 losses on the road, tied for fourth-most in the EPL. City averages six more shots on target per game.

Why you should back Aston Villa

The Villans have nothing to lose, and City will be facing all the pressure, as it needs to get a result to have something to show for its strong season. Villa manager Steven Gerrard was the Liverpool captain for many years during his playing days, and he will do anything he can to aid his former club with a result. He also will be eager to go out on a high note after going 10-5-11 in 26 games since he took over. Villa dominated Thursday against Burnley, holding the ball for 72 percent of the game and firing off 22 shots (nine on target), but it couldn't get a winning goal and settled for a 1-1 draw.

Emiliano Buendia scored the equalizer in Thursday's match to give him four goals this season. He also shares the team lead in assists with Danny Ings. Ollie Watkins and Ings are the heart of the attack, with Watkins leading the team with 11 goals and Ings pitching in seven. Jacob Ramsey has scored six times. They could take advantage of a City defense that has been banged up late in the season. Watkins has taken 76 shots, putting 31 on target (41 percent). Villa has allowed 450 shots this season, but only 140 were on target, and goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez has 11 clean sheets.  

How to make Manchester City vs. Aston Villa picks

Green has scrutinized the Aston Villa vs. Manchester City match from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also provides two confident best bets and has a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing those picks here.

So, who wins Man City vs. Aston Villa in Sunday's English Premier League matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Aston Villa vs. Manchester City match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons.