The fourth-ranked Purdue Boilermakers will look to get back on track when they take on the Northwestern Wildcats in a key Big Ten battle on Sunday afternoon. The Boilermakers (15-3, 4-3), who are 9-1 on their home court, are coming off a 68-65 loss at Indiana on Thursday. The Wildcats (9-7, 2-5), who are 2-2 on the road, were beaten by No. 8 Wisconsin, 82-76, on Tuesday. The Boilermakers have won the last nine games against the Wildcats, and Northwestern is searching for its first road win in the series since March 9, 2014.
Tipoff from Mackey Arena is set for 1 p.m. ET. Purdue leads the all-time series 132-47, including a 77-13 edge in home games. The Boilermakers are 13-point favorites in the latest Northwestern vs. Purdue odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 149.5. Before making any Purdue vs. Northwestern picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of more than $2,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Purdue vs. Northwestern and revealed its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball odds and trends for Northwestern vs. Purdue:
- Northwestern vs. Purdue spread: Purdue -13
- Northwestern vs. Purdue over-under: 149.5 points
- NU: The Under is 9-1 in the Wildcats' last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight-up record
- PUR: The Boilermakers are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games following an ATS loss
Why Purdue can cover
The Boilermakers have been led by sophomore guard Jaden Ivey, who has scored in double figures in each of his last 15 games, including 21 points and two rebounds in the loss at Indiana on Thursday. He recently surpassed 500 career points with a 17-point effort against Nebraska on Jan. 14. For the season, Ivey averages 16.7 points, five rebounds, 2.9 assists and 1.2 steals per game.
Also challenging opposing defenses is sophomore center Zach Edey, who leads the nation at 71.2 percent shooting from the floor. Over the last six games, Edey has scored 105 points, grabbed 47 rebounds and dished out 11 assists in 118 minutes. For the year, Edey is averaging 15.4 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game.
Why Northwestern can cover
Senior forward Pete Nance leads the Wildcats with 16.6 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.5 blocks per game, while shooting 51.1 percent from the field, including a team-high 42.9 percent from 3-point range. Nance is on pace to become the first Northwestern player since at least 1992-93 to average 15 points per game, while shooting at least 50 percent from the field and 40 percent from 3-point range. Nance missed the Michigan State game on Jan. 15, but has reached double-figure scoring in every game he has played, including a career-high 28 points against Maryland on Jan. 12. He has a team-high four double-doubles on the season.
Junior guard Boo Buie leads the Big Ten and ranks 22nd in the nation, averaging 5.6 assists per game, and ranks fourth in the league with a 2.57 assist-to-turnover ratio. Buie is the only Big Ten player averaging at least 14.5 points and four or more assists per game. He needs just four assists to pass Elyjah Williams (252) as the Wildcats' active career assists leader.
How to make Northwestern vs. Purdue picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 148 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread is hitting well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Purdue vs. Northwestern? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $2,400 on its top-rated college basketball spread picks over the last five-plus years, and find out.