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The third-seeded Tennessee Volunteers have high hopes for the 2022 NCAA Tournament but will face a tough test on Saturday against the No. 11-seeded Michigan Wolverines. The Vols (27-7) finished the season ranked fifth in the nation by the Associated Press and will be trying to reach the Sweet 16 for the eight time in the past 40 years. They have made the Elite Eight once, while the Wolverines (18-14) reached that stage last season. UM has played in the national title game twice in the past decade and faced one of the nation's toughest schedules, so the Wolverines can't be taken lightly. UT crushed Longwood 88-56 in the first round on Thursday, while UM eased past Colorado State 75-63 after a slow start.

Tipoff is set for 5:15 p.m. ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Vols are 6.5-point favorites in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Michigan vs. Tennessee odds, and the over-under for total points scored is 136. Before making any Tennessee vs. Michigan picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Tennessee vs. Michigan and revealed its coveted picks and predictions for the NCAA Tournament 2022. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model's college basketball picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Michigan vs. Tennessee:

  • Michigan vs. Tennessee spread: Vols -6.5
  • Michigan vs. Tennessee over-under: 136.5 points
  • Michigan vs. Tennessee money line: Wolverines +230, Vols -280
  • MICH: It is 5-3 ATS as an underdog this season.
  • TENN: It is 13-8 ATS as a favorite of five or more.

Why Tennessee can cover

UT is 7-3 ATS in its past 10, covering in four straight, and it is the No. 6 team in KenPom's rankings, while Michigan is 30th. Tennessee had five players in double figures Thursday and shot 60 percent overall and 58.3 percent from 3-point range. Santiago Vescovi hit six of eight three-point tries for 18 points, and John Fulkerson made seven of eight shots overall to score 15. Josiah-Jordan James scored 17 and Kennedy Chandler had 13 as they combined to hit six of 10 from beyond the arc, and Zakai Zeigler chipped in 10. Chandler also had five assists.

The Vols are 13-1 SU and 9-4 ATS since the start of February, avenging their only loss to Arkansas two weeks later. They had 13 steals Thursday and rank seventh in the nation in that category, and they also had an 11-rebound edge. Both teams score just over 73 points, but Tennessee is 18th in the nation in scoring margin at 10.4. It allows 62.8 points, compared to UM's 69.9. UT allows opponents to shoot just 40 percent overall (25th in Division I). UM traveled a tough road, but so did the Vols, facing the eight-toughest schedule, according to KenPom.

Why Michigan can cover

Michigan is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 neutral-site games as an underdog, and it has the pieces to compete with anyone. It starts with 7-foot-1 sophomore Hunter Dickinson, who had a game-high 21 points and blocked four shots in Thursday's game. He is averaging 18.3 points and 8.3 boards, helping the Wolverines out-rebound opponents by 5.4 per game. Forward Moussa Diabate had nine in Thursday's win against the Rams. The Wolverines played without starting point guard DeVante' Jones, who suffered a concussion in practice and is uncertain for Saturday.

Freshman Frankie Collins stepped up big against Colorado State, posting career highs with 14 points and six rebounds while turning the ball over just once. Senior Eli Brooks had 16 points and added six assists, and his leadership will be critical for the Wolverines. Brooks shoots 38.9 percent from 3-point range while Caleb Houstan, who scored 13 points Thursday, hits 36.6 percent of his attempts. UM is battle-tested after facing the sixth-toughest schedule in the nation, and it is 6-5 all-time against UT. It is 14-5-2 ATS in its past 21 NCAA Tournament games.  

How to make Michigan vs. Tennessee picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 140 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Tennessee vs. Michigan? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.