The Cleveland Browns lost their first matchup of the season against the Pittsburgh Steelers and they'll have a chance to even the score when the two AFC North rivals square off on Monday Night Football. Both teams limp into Monday's contest having lost four of their last six games overall. However, the Steelers will be confident they can secure the victory on their home turf on Monday night. That's because Pittsburgh is 17-1 in its last 18 home games against the Browns. 

Kickoff form Heinz Field is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Steelers are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Browns vs. Steelers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 43. Before making any Steelers vs. Browns picks and NFL predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,100 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 17 of the 2021 season on an incredible 134-96 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Browns vs. Steelers and revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Steelers vs. Browns:

  • Browns vs. Steelers spread: Steelers -2.5
  • Browns vs. Steelers over-under: 43 points
  • Browns vs. Steelers money line: Browns +125, Steelers -145
  • CLE: The total has gone under in four of the Browns' previous five games
  • PIT: The Steelers are 5-0-1 straight-up in their last six home games
Featured Game | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns

Why the Browns can cover

The Browns feature one of the league's most potent rushing attacks. In fact, Cleveland is averaging 144.9 yards per game on the ground, which ranks third in the NFL. Running back Nick Chubb ranks third in the league with 1,143 rushing yards. He also ranks inside the top 10 in rushing attempts (207), rushing touchdowns (8) and yards per carry (5.5). 

Chubb is expected to be heavily featured against the Steelers on Monday night. That's because Pittsburgh's defense is giving up 142.7 rushing yards per game this season, the second-worst mark in the NFL. In his last game at Heinz Field, Chubb racked up 145 all-purpose yards and a touchdown. 

Why the Steelers can cover

The Steelers have been difficult to take down at home this season. In fact, the Steelers are unbeaten at Heinz Field this season, while the Browns have lost four of their last five games on the road. In addition, Pittsburgh is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games against the Browns. 

Pittsburgh's defense put the clamps on Cleveland's offense the last time these two squared off. The Steelers held the Browns to just 10 points in October's victory, keeping Cleveland's playmakers in check throughout the contest. Plus, the Browns enter Monday's matchup having scored 14 points or less in four of their last six outings. 

How to make Browns vs. Steelers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 42 combined points. It also says one side of the spread cashes in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Monday Night Football picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Steelers vs. Browns on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Steelers vs. Browns spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,100 on its top-rated NFL picks.