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The Kansas City Chiefs can move one step closer to their fifth straight AFC West title when they face the rival Las Vegas Raiders in a Sunday Night Football matchup at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The Chiefs (8-1) lead the division and are chasing Pittsburgh (10-0) for the best record in the NFL and a first-round bye. A win on Sunday night over the Raiders (6-3) would give Kansas City a nearly insurmountable three-game lead with six games to play. Meanwhile, Las Vegas sits in second place in the division and is battling for one of the seven playoff berths in the AFC. 

Kickoff in Las Vegas is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 7.5-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Raiders odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 56. Before you make any Raiders vs. Chiefs picks, be sure to see the latest Sunday Night Football predictions from SportsLine's proven model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 18-9 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 11 on an incredible 114-74 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Raiders. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL lines from William Hill and trends for Raiders vs. Chiefs:

  • Chiefs vs. Raiders spread: Kansas City -7.5
  • Chiefs vs. Raiders Over-Under: 56 points
  • Chiefs vs. Raiders money line: Kansas City -355, Las Vegas +295
  • KC: Patrick Mahomes ranks second in the NFL in passer rating (115.9)
  • LV: Josh Jacobs is fourth in the league in rushing yards (700)

Why the Chiefs can cover

Kansas City features one of the best offenses in the NFL. Behind quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the defending Super Bowl champions lead the NFL in passing offense (294.7 yards per game). The Chiefs also rank second in total offense (409.0 yards per game) and scoring offense (31.8 points per game).

In addition, the Chiefs have been excellent in the first game after their bye week. In fact, Kansas City is 5-1 in the last six seasons in the first game after the bye. The average margin of victory in those six contests has been 11.7 points. The Chiefs have also dominated this rivalry over the years, winning eight of their last 10 meetings against the Raiders. 

Why the Raiders can cover

Las Vegas has already beaten Kansas City this season. The Raiders piled up 490 yards of total offense on Oct. 11 in a 40-32 upset win at Kansas City. Quarterback Derek Carr had a stellar showing in Las Vegas' victory, throwing for 347 yards and three touchdowns. Carr enters Sunday's AFC West rivalry having thrown two or more touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. 

The Raiders are averaging 28.3 points per game this season, which ranks eighth in the NFL. Las Vegas features a ferocious ground game, averaging 139.2 rushing yards per game. The Raiders are led by running back Josh Jacobs, who's recorded 700 rushing yards and eight touchdowns this season. He scored two rushing touchdowns in Las Vegas' Week 5 victory over Kansas City, and he's expected to be heavily involved in the Raiders' game plan on Sunday night. 

How to make Chiefs vs. Raiders picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with the simulations showing Mahomes throwing for well over 300 yards and Jacobs pushing for 100 on the ground. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick here

So who wins Raiders vs. Chiefs on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Raiders vs. Chiefs spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,800 on its NFL picks, and find out.