The Las Vegas Raiders (6-10) will host the Kansas City Chiefs (13-3) in the regular season finale on Saturday. Kansas City leads the all-time series 71-54-2 and has won four straight games against Las Vegas. The Chiefs are averaging 38.5 points per game during that win streak, and in Week 5, Kansas City knocked off the Raiders, 30-29. The Raiders are 5-2 against the spread at home, while the Chiefs are 3-5 against the number on the road.
Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. ET in Las Vegas. Kansas City is favored by nine points in the latest Chiefs vs. Raiders odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is 52.5. Before locking in any Raiders vs. Chiefs picks, make sure you check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 18 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 160-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 14-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season.
The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has broken down Chiefs vs. Raiders from every angle and locked in its NFL Week 18 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting trends for Raiders vs. Chiefs:
- Chiefs vs. Raiders spread: Kansas City -9
- Chiefs vs. Raiders over/under: 52.5 points
- Chiefs vs. Raiders money line: Kansas City -455, Las Vegas +345
- KC: Over is 4-0 in Chiefs' last four vs. AFC West
- LV: Raiders are 6-0 ATS vs. teams with a winning record
- Chiefs vs. Raiders picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Chiefs can cover
The Chiefs have a solid defensive unit and are ranked 12th in total defense (331.3) and ninth in rushing defense (107.8). Linebacker Nick Bolton is an instinctive and aware defender. Bolton flies to the ball and attacks downhill consistently. The Missouri product is third in solo tackles (100) with two sacks and two interceptions. He's finished with double-digit stops in five of his last seven games.
Cornerback L'Jarius Sneed has plenty of length and size. Sneed has quality ball skills and isn't afraid of contact. He's second on the team in total tackles (105), pass deflections (11), and interceptions (3). He also has five tackles for loss and 3.5 sacks. Defensive tackle Chris Jones is a menace upfront. Jones quickly sheds blocks and causes havoc in the backfield. The four-time Pro Bowler is tied for fifth in the NFL in sacks (13) and tied for eighth in tackles for loss (15). See which side to back here.
Why the Raiders can cover
Defensive end Maxx Crosby is a menace coming off the edge. Crosby has a nonstop motor with an array of moves to get after the quarterback. The two-time Pro Bowler is first in the league in tackles for loss (20), tied for 10th in sacks (11.5), and tied for fifth in forced fumbles (3). Additionally, he leads the team in total stops (84). In the first matchup against Kansas City, Crosby finished with four tackles and two sacks.
Safety Duron Harmon is an all-around defender in the secondary. Harmon is able to play in the box and help out against the run. The Rutgers product owns plenty of speed and leaping ability. He is third on the team in total tackles (79) with five pass deflections, two interceptions, and two forced fumbles. Last week, he amassed nine total stops. See which side to back here.
How to make Raiders vs. Chiefs picks
The model has broken down Saturday's Chiefs vs. Raiders matchup from all angles. The model is leaning Over on the total, predicting 54 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Raiders vs. Chiefs on Saturday? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Raiders vs. Chiefs spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a 160-113 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.