The Tennessee Titans will try to continue their mastery of the Baltimore Ravens, and knock the Ravens out of the playoffs for the second straight season, when the two teams collide on Sunday. In a Divisional Round playoff game last season, the Titans pounded Baltimore on both sides of the football and won 28-12. Then, less than two months ago, Tennessee repeated its success, edging the Ravens 30-24 in overtime. Now, they meet in the first round of the 2021 NFL Playoffs.

Kickoff is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Baltimore is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Titans vs. Ravens odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the Over-Under for total points scored is 54. Before you make any Ravens vs. Titans picks, you need to see what SportsLine senior analyst and Titans expert Larry Hartstein has to say

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. In the 2019 season, he went 58-39 on against-the-spread NFL picks, giving his followers a profit of more than $1,500. He finished the 2020 regular season strong, going 18-6 in his last 24 spread picks.

He also has had a keen eye for the tendencies of the Titans, posting an incredible 18-7-1 record on his last 26 spread picks involving Tennessee. Anyone who has consistently followed him is way up.

Now, he has locked in on Titans vs. Ravens and released another confident against-the-spread pick. Go to SportsLine to see it. Here are the NFL odds and trends for Titans vs. Ravens:

  • Titans vs. Ravens spread: Baltimore -3.5
  • Titans vs. Ravens Over-Under: 54 points
  • Titans vs. Ravens money line: Baltimore -190, Tennessee +170
  • BAL: Ravens led league in rushing (191.9 yards per game)
  • TEN: Derrick Henry rushed for 2,027 yards, fifth-most in NFL history

Why the Ravens can cover

Running back J.K. Dobbins is on a roll. The rookie back from Ohio State has scored seven rushing touchdowns in his last six games. He is coming off the best game of his rookie year, running for a season-best 160 yards and two touchdowns on 13 carries against Cincinnati. 

In addition, Baltimore faces a historically bad third-down defense. The Titans allowed opponents to convert 51.9 percent of their third down attempts this season. Excluding the 1982 strike season, that is the worst percentage by any defense in NFL history since the league began tracking the stat in 1972. That bodes well for a Ravens offense that converted 48.8 percent of its third downs this season, which ranked fourth in the NFL.

Why the Titans can cover

Since taking over as Tennessee's starting quarterback, Ryan Tannehill has been playing on an elite level. After assuming control in Week 7 of the 2019 season, he has a passer rating of 111.3, which ranks third in the NFL behind only Drew Brees (112.3) and Aaron Rodgers (111.7). Tannehill also has 55 passing touchdowns, which ranks third, while his 8.54 yards per attempt leads all quarterbacks over that time.

In addition, the Titans face a quarterback who has struggled in the postseason. In two career playoff starts, Ravens signal-caller Lamar Jackson has completed just 51.1 percent of his passes, turned the ball over five times, and been sacked 11 times. Baltimore lost both of his starts. 

How to make Titans vs. Ravens picks

Now, Hartstein has broken down Ravens vs. Titans from every angle. He's leaning Under, but his much stronger play is on the spread. He's found a critical x-factor that makes one side of the spread hit hard on Sunday. He's only sharing what it is, and who to back, here.

So who wins Ravens vs. Titans? And what critical x-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Ravens vs. Titans spread you should jump on Sunday, all from the Tennessee expert who is 18-7-1 on picks involving the Titans.