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A pair of struggling teams open Southwestern Athletic Conference play when the Alabama State Hornets battle the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils on Monday. The Hornets (1-11), who finished eighth in the conference at 4-14 a year ago, have lost six straight since defeating North Carolina Central on Nov. 20. Alabama State, which followed that up with an exhibition win over Tuskegee 91-65 two days later, is 0-9 away from home. The Delta Devils (0-10), who were 10th in the SWAC at 2-13 and 2-22 overall in 2020-21, have gone 0-2 at home this season.

Tip-off is set for 5 p.m. ET. The Hornets are 8.5-point favorites in the latest Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 151.5. Before making any Mississippi Valley State vs. Alabama State picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mississippi Valley State vs. Alabama State and revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model's college basketball picks. Here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State:

  • Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State spread: Alabama State -8.5
  • Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State over-under: 151.5 points
  • ALST: The Hornets are 9-1 against the spread in their last 10 road games against a team with a losing home record
  • MVSU: The Delta Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game
Featured Game | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Alabama State Hornets

Why Mississippi Valley State can cover

The Delta Devils have two players averaging double-figure scoring, led by junior forward Robert Carpenter. Carpenter averages 16.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and one block in 31.9 minutes per game. He is also one of the team's top free throw shooters, connecting on 83.3 percent of his foul shots. Carpenter has reached double figures in all nine games he has played, including a season-high 27 points at Mississippi on Nov. 26. 

Also powering Mississippi Valley State is sophomore guard Caleb Hunter, who is tied for the team lead in minutes played at 33.3 per game. He is averaging 12.7 points, 3.1 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1.4 steals. He has reached double-digit scoring in each of the past four games and in eight overall. He scored a season-high 20 points in an 82-77 loss to Arkansas State on Dec. 11.

Why Alabama State can cover

Junior forward Gerald Liddell tops the Hornets in scoring at 11.7 points per game, and is connecting on 45 percent of his shots from the floor, including a blistering 42.3 percent from 3-point range. He is also averaging 4.8 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.1 blocks. Liddell has reached double figures in each of the last three games, including 15 points and five rebounds at Texas Tech on Tuesday. 

Freshman guard Juan Reyna is tied for the team lead with seven double-figure games this season, and has connected on all 17 of his free throw attempts. Reyna is averaging 7.8 points, two rebounds and one assist per game, and is one of seven players averaging seven points or more for the Hornets. He scored 10 points in the 68-48 loss at Texas on Dec. 22, and scored a season-high 16 points in the 79-74 season-opening loss at Western Kentucky on Nov. 9. 

How to make Mississippi Valley State vs. Alabama State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 139 points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.