It's a rematch of the last World Cup final when Croatia hosts France on Monday in a 2022-23 UEFA Nations League match. The teams squared off in the 2018 World Cup final, with Les Bleus taking a 4-2 victory. They also met in the 1998 World Cup semifinals, and host France won that one 2-1 before beating Brazil 3-0 to win the title. The road to France's 2020-21 Nations League title also went through the Croats, as Les Bleus won both matches in the group stage. Those four wins and a 2-2 draw at Euro 2004 are the only competitive meetings between the teams. Both teams come into this Nations League matchup off home losses, with France stunned by Denmark 2-1 on Friday and Croatia losing its opener 3-0 to Austria on the same day.
Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. ET at Poljud Stadium. France is the +101 favorite (risk $100 to win $101) on the 90-minute money line in the latest Croatia vs. France odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Croatia is a +265 underdog, a regulation draw is priced at +245 and the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any France vs. Croatia picks or UEFA Nations League predictions, you have to see what SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green has to say.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.
Now, Green has broken down the France vs. Croatia matchup from every angle and just locked in his UEFA Nations League picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Croatia vs. France:
- France vs. Croatia spread: France -0.5
- France vs. Croatia over-under: 2.5 goals
- France vs. Croatia money line: France +101, Croatia +265, Draw +245
- CRO: Croatia scored 20 goals in the eight games before Friday's shutout
- FRA: France has 14 goals in the five competitive matchups with Croatia
Why you should back France
Les Bleus have scored at least once in 21 straight games, and Croatia has yielded at least two goals in its past four Nations League matches. Allowing three goals to an inferior Austria team doesn't bode well with France coming to town, even if it's likely Kylian Mbappe will be out with a knee injury. Karim Benzema can surely make Croatia pay, and he scored the lone goal in Friday's game for his 37th goal in 95 international matches. The 34-year-old led La Liga with 27 goals this season, helping Real Madrid win both the league title and the Champions League.
Antoine Griezmann scored on a penalty kick in that 2018 World Cup final, and he is the top scorer on the roster with 42 goals. He will support Benzema after Mbappe was injured Friday. The team also lost defender Raphael Varane, but goalkeeper Hugo Lloris should stop Croatia no matter who is in front of him. Lloris is second all-time in caps for France (138), and he helped Tottenham finish in the top four in the Premier League this season, posting 16 clean sheets.
Why you should back Croatia
The Checkered Ones were looking to extend their unbeaten run to 10 games as they hosted Austria, but they were listless for most of the game without star midfielder Luka Modric. He should be there from the start Monday. The 36-year-old also was part of Real Madrid's grueling run to the Champions League title, so he was on the bench to rest for much of the opener. Modric is the most capped player in the team's history with 149, and he has scored 21 goals. He could be the top international scorer on the field for Croatia if striker Ivan Perisic can't play.
Perisic, who has 32 goals in 136 games, sat out Friday with an injury, and his status is unclear. Andrej Kramaric has 18 goals in 68 matches and could lead the line. Mislav Orsic has 43 goals over the past three seasons with Dinamo Zagreb and can provide bite to the attack. Chelsea's Mateo Kovacic teams with Modric in a strong midfield, and they should help the Croats get quality shots. Croatia held the ball for 61 percent of Friday's game but was outshot 14-13.
How to make Croatia vs. France picks
Green has scrutinized the France vs. Croatia match from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also provides two confident best bets and has a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing those picks here.
So, who wins Croatia vs. France on Monday? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the France vs. Croatia match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons.