The No. 2 Baylor Bears will look to stay perfect on the season when they visit the No. 6 Texas Longhorns in a key Big 12 Conference matchup on Tuesday. The Bears (16-0), who finished second in the conference at 15-3 and were 26-4 overall a year ago, are the only team in the nation to win every game by eight or more points. Fourteen of Baylor's 16 wins have been by 11 or more points. The Longhorns (11-3), who tied for third in the Big 12 with West Virginia, Texas Tech and Oklahoma at 9-9 and were 19-12 overall in 2019-20, have won seven of their past nine games.
The game from the Frank Erwin Special Events Center in Austin, Texas, is scheduled to begin at 7 p.m. ET. Baylor is averaging 87.3 points per game, while Texas is averaging 76.4. The Bears are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Baylor vs. Texas odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 144.5. Before making any Texas vs. Baylor picks, check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Baylor vs. Texas spread: Baylor -5.5
- Baylor vs. Texas over-under: 144.5 points
- Baylor vs. Texas money line: Baylor -250; Texas +205
- BAY: Has led by at least 10 points in every game this season and has led by 13 or more at halftime in 10 of 16
- TEX: Has posted four wins by at least 20 points and are 4-2 in games decided by three points or less
Why Baylor can cover
Six Baylor players are shooting at least 37 percent on 3-point field goals and are averaging at least one 3-pointer made per game: Davion Mitchell (47 percent), Jared Butler (45 percent), Matthew Mayer (45 percent), Adam Flagler (43 percent), LJ Cryer (43 percent) and MaCio Teague (37 percent). Mitchell is third on the team in scoring at 12.8 points per game, and is also averaging 5.9 assists, 2.8 rebounds and 2.1 steals. He is connecting on 52.5 percent of his shots from the floor and 71.9 percent of his free throws. Mitchell scored 31 points in Wednesday's 107-59 win over Kansas State.
Flagler has been a big boost off the bench for the Bears and has scored in double figures in nine of his 14 games played this season, including five games with 15 or more points. Flagler has also made at least one 3-pointer in 47 of 50 collegiate games. He's made multiple 3-pointers in 41 of 50 career games, including 26 games with three or more made 3-pointers. For the season, he is averaging 10.4 points, 2.2 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 0.9 steals per game.
Why Texas can cover
Like Baylor, Texas has a number of impressive victories this season. The Longhorns won at Kansas and West Virginia, and has neutral site victories over North Carolina and Indiana. Leading the offense is junior guard Andrew Jones, who is averaging 14.3 points, 4.7 rebounds, 2.3 assists and 0.8 steals per game. In the Jan. 26 loss to Oklahoma, Jones reached double-digit scoring (13 points) for the 11th time this year and 55th time in his career (89 games). Jones set season highs in rebounds (8), free throws made (7 of 8) and minutes (38) and tied his season high in assists (4).
Junior guard Courtney Ramey is also a key component to the Longhorns' success, averaging 13.9 points, 3.2 rebounds, 3.9 assists and 0.8 steals per game. He is hitting on 44.2 percent of his field goals, including 44.6 percent from 3-point range, and 79.1 percent of his free throws. He has reached double figures in 12 of 13 games. Ramey registered 14 points and nine assists against two turnovers in 34 minutes against Kansas State on Jan. 16. He had a team-high 19 points, five rebounds and six assists in 37 minutes at No. 14 West Virginia on Jan. 9.
How to make Baylor vs. Texas picks
The model is leaning over on the total, projecting both teams combine for 149 points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Baylor vs. Texas? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.