Anyone who passes on drafting T.Y. Hilton solely based on 2017 is an idiot. He didn't play with Andrew Luck and the entire Colts offense was a shipwreck from the start. In 2018, Luck is expected back and the offense should be refreshed under new coach Frank Reich. This should lead to the kind of numbers we're used to seeing annually from Hilton, such as the 81.0 catches, 1,250.0 yards and 5.8 touchdowns he's averaged in his last four seasons with Luck. Maybe the biggest strike on Hilton is that Indianapolis doesn't have another dangerous receiver defenses must account for, leading to more double-coverage situations for the speedster. Hilton also isn't much of a red-zone threat -- of his 28 career scores from Luck, only nine have been from inside the 20. However, the Colts' run game isn't a danger to change the tenor of their game plan, and the Colts' defense isn't stout enough to battle in a bunch of low-scoring, grind-it-out games. If Hilton will see over 130 targets, which is typical with Luck, he should be chased as a low-end No. 1 Fantasy receiver. Consider yourself intelligent if you lock Hilton up with a third-round pick -- early in the round if it's PPR, late in the round if it's not.
Hilton believes he's in the best shape of his career after cutting fast food completely out of his diet in the offseason, Zak Keefer of The Indianapolis Star reports. Hilton beat the rest of the league to the punch with the "best-shape-of-my-life" quote, spilling it during the second week of the Colts' offseason workout program. He even joked that his big change was eating Cinnamon Toast Crunch instead of fast food for dinner, but he's working closely with Colts director of sports performance Rusty Jones. Perhaps more important, the 28-year-old speedster sounds excited for his seventh professional season, likely invigorated by the possibility of playing with Andrew Luck (shoulder) under the tutelage of new head coach Frank Reich, who served as offensive coordinator for the Eagles last season. Hilton shouldn't have any problem piling up targets even if the Colts use an early draft pick at his position, as the other wideouts on the current roster have accounted for only 145 career receptions and five touchdowns. The major concern is Luck's continued recovery from shoulder surgery, though the Colts are optimistic their quarterback will be ready for the start of training camp. The passing game should still run through Hilton and Jack Doyle in 2018, with offseason additions Eric Ebron and Ryan Grant also in the mix to earn regular targets.
Hilton had three receptions for 14 yards on six targets in Sunday's win over Houston. Hilton continued his boom-or-bust season as he had four games of 100 yards or more receiving, and eight games of 30 yards or less. He had a big decline in production without Andrew Luck as his 57 receptions and 966 yards receiving were the lowest since his rookie season in 2012. His four touchdowns were a career low. No player may get a bigger boost if Andrew Luck is able to return in 2018.
Hilton snagged six of 12 targets for 100 yards during Saturday's 23-16 loss to the Ravens. The 12 targets were three more than Hilton's previous season high and snapped a season-long five straight games without a 100-yard performance. It's been a tough season for Hilton as he has not had the benefit of nabbing passes from Andrew Luck, but his 17.6 yards per catch represent a career high and ranks third in the league among qualified pass catchers. He wraps up the season against a Houston team that he torched for 175 yards and two scores in Week 9.
Hilton caught two of four targets for 20 yards in Sunday's 13-7 loss to the Bills. Hilton tied for the team lead in targets, but each of his receptions went for just 10 yards as Jacoby Brissett relied on short attempts in the snowy conditions. The wideout shook loose for 51 yards and a touchdown last week against the Jaguars, but he's failed to reach 30 receiving yards in six of the last eight games overall. Hilton remains capable of breaking off a long gain at any point, but a lack of consistent quarterback play has severely hampered his fantasy value. This should remain the case Thursday against the capable Broncos secondary.
Hilton caught three of six targets for 51 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 30-10 loss to Jacksonville. Hilton got loose for a 40-yard score on fourth-and-two in the third quarter to reduce his team's deficit to two touchdowns. His ability to pull off big plays in even the most difficult matchups makes Hilton difficult to bench, but he's been frustrating to own with fewer than 60 receiving yards in all but three games this season.
|* indicates player did not play that week|
|WK||DATE||OPP||OPP RANK||OPP FPTS|
|5||10/05||@New England Patriots||27||22.58|
|6||10/14||@New York Jets||19||20.00|
|16||12/23||New York Giants||25||20.75|
Red Zone Trends
|3 Year Avg||132||72||1179||5||51||16.38||147|