T.Y. Hilton's stock has fallen over the past couple of years, but he's still worth a Round 4 pick in PPR. Hilton's 7.4 yards per target in 2019 were a career worst but we don't know how much of that was because of quarterback play and injury. I don't expect Philip Rivers to be as good as Andrew Luck was, but he should be an upgrade from Jacoby Brissett. As for the injuries, Hilton will turn 31 this year and has battled one ailment or another for most of the past two seasons. He's a solid No. 2 receiver with huge weekly upside, but he's not likely to finish as a top-10 receiver again. G
Hilton is still viewed as the focus of the Indianapolis offense even with the star receiver being slowed by injury the past two seasons and with the Colts taking Michael Pittman in the second round of the 2020 NFL Draft, Colts offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni told the team's official web site. "I think about where we're at - things will be schemed to get him the football," he said. Hilton played a career-low 10 games last season due to a calf injury after missing two games and being limited by abdominal and ankle injuries in 2018. Sirianni said Hilton has been working hard in the offseason to get back to top shape and Hilton didn't need offseason surgery for his calf injury, which he said was fully healthy at the end of the season. While better health could improve Hilton's outlook, improved quarterback play from new starter Philip Rivers could be just as large a factor.
Hilton revealed Monday that the tear in his calf was up to three centimeters wide, Joel A. Erickson of The Indianapolis Star reports. Hilton said it was initially a two-centimeter tear but then became larger after he re-injured his calf during a Week 12 game against Houston. He eventually returned for Weeks 15-17, catching 10 passes for 123 yards on 16 targets over that stretch, with offensive snap shares of 52, 59 and 68 percent. The upward trend in playing time is a good sign for Hilton's offseason health, and he confirmed Monday that he won't need surgery, George Bremer of The Anderson Herald Bulletin reports. The 30-year-old wide receiver has one season remaining on a five-year, $65 million extension, with no guarantees for his $14.54 million base salary in 2020, per overthecap.com. The Colts likely intend to discuss a contract extension, but Hilton may be hesitant to make a long-term commitment to a franchise with uncertainty at quarterback.
Hilton caught all three of his targets for 72 yards in Sunday's 38-20 loss to Jacksonville. Hilton's 72 yards accounted for nearly half of Jacoby Brissett's entire passing total in a game in which the aerial attack struggled mightily. The star wideout turned in his worst fantasy season to date, finishing with just 45 receptions for 501 yards and five touchdowns through 10 games. Hilton dealt with multiple injuries throughout the campaign, but the loss of franchise quarterback Andrew Luck certainly played a role in the downturn in production. Brissett had an up-and-down season, so the Colts may explore a potential upgrade at the position in 2020, which could help restore Hilton's status as a high-end fantasy wideout.
Hilton caught three of four targets for 26 yards during Sunday's 38-6 win over the Panthers. Part of Hilton's performance can be attributed to a great day on special teams and defense by the Colts. On the other hand, the pass offense has struggled mightily in recent weeks, irrespective of the play of the Colts' other units. Hilton has been held under 30 yards in three consecutive games, and he doesn't project as a safe bet to take advantage of the favorable matchup the season finale brings in the form of Jacksonville's 29th-ranked pass defense.
Coach Frank Reich said that Hilton -- who returned to action in Monday's 34-7 loss to the Saints following a two-game absence due to a calf issue -- came out of contest feeling "well" from a health standpoint, George Bremer of The Anderson Herald Bulletin reports. Hilton only played 29 of the Colts' 56 offensive snaps and finished with a meager four catches for 25 yards on nine targets, but the modest workload may have been due in part to the blowout nature of the contest. Reich noted Wednesday that he expects the wideout to see more playing time over the final two weeks of the regular season, even with Indianapolis eliminated from playoff contention.
|* indicates player did not play that week|
|WK||DATE||OPP||OPP RANK||OPP FPTS|
|3||09/27||New York Jets||25||23.50|
|11||11/22||Green Bay Packers||12||19.22|
|14||12/13||@Las Vegas Raiders||22||22.63|
|3 Year Avg||98||59||912||5||39||15.46||121|