The Baltimore Ravens will be looking to put a disappointing performance in the past when they face the New England Patriots on Sunday afternoon. Baltimore held a 35-14 lead over Miami last week before giving up 21 consecutive points in a 42-38 loss. New England lost to the Dolphins in Week 1, but the Patriots responded with a 17-14 win over Pittsburgh in Week 2.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Baltimore is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Patriots vs. Ravens odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 44. Before entering any Ravens vs. Patriots picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-102 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
- Patriots vs. Ravens spread: Ravens -2.5
- Patriots vs. Ravens over/under: 44 points
- Patriots vs. Ravens picks: See picks here
Why the Patriots can cover
New England will be excited to return home after playing its first two games on the road. The Patriots lost to Miami in Week 1 before bouncing back with a 17-14 win over Pittsburgh last week. Quarterback Mac Jones completed 21 of 35 passes for 252 yards and a touchdown against the Steelers, while running back Damien Harris had 15 carries for 71 yards and a score.
Baltimore will have to recover emotionally after blowing a 21-point lead against Miami last week, so going on the road to New England will be a tough task. The Patriots have dominated this series at home, winning five of the last six meetings. Baltimore is one of the coldest teams in the NFL dating back to last season, winning just one of its last eight games.
Why the Ravens can cover
Baltimore could easily be entering Sunday's showdown with a 2-0 record, which will provide the Ravens with some extra motivation. They were dominant in the first three quarters of their game against Miami last week, as quarterback Lamar Jackson threw for more than 300 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 119 yards and another score. They are facing a New England defense that allowed Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa to complete 23 of 33 passes for 270 yards in Week 1.
The Patriots struggled to produce against a Pittsburgh defense that gave up 20-plus points to Cincinnati and Cleveland. New England has been overvalued dating back to last season, covering the spread just once in its last seven games. In addition, New England has only covered three times in its last nine games as underdogs.
How to make Patriots vs. Ravens picks
The model has simulated Ravens vs. Patriots 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Patriots vs. Ravens? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Ravens vs. Patriots spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NFL picks, and find out.