Second place in the AFC playoff picture will be on the line when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Tennessee Titans in a key Week 9 game on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs and Titans (both 5-2) lead their respective divisions and enter the game one game behind the Bills (6-1) in the AFC. The winner of Sunday Night Football will not only stand alone in second place in the conference behind Buffalo, which already has beaten both Kansas City and Tennessee this season, but will also claim a key victory that could come in handy when determining tiebreakers after the regular season. Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill is inactive with an ankle injury, leaving rookie Malik Willis to start. 

Kickoff is 8:20 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 14-point favorite in the latest Titans vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 45. Before making any Chiefs vs. Titans picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 9 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 148-107 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Titans vs. Chiefs and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 9 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chiefs vs. Titans:

  • Titans vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -14
  • Titans vs. Chiefs over/under: 45 points
  • Titans vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -900, Tennessee +600
  • KC: QB Patrick Mahomes leads the league in passing touchdowns (20)
  • TEN: RB Derrick Henry leads the NFL in rushing yards per game (107.9)
  • Titans vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans

Why the Chiefs can cover

Kansas City has one of the best offenses in the league. The Chiefs lead the NFL in scoring offense (31.9 points per game) and rank second in both total offense (403.3 yards per game) and passing offense (296.0). In their last game, the Chiefs set season-highs in both points (44) and total offense (529 yards).

In addition, coach Andy Reid's teams have been incredible after bye weeks. In 14 seasons with the Eagles and nine previous seasons with Kansas City, his teams are 20-3 coming off the bye week. That includes a 7-2 record with the Chiefs. See which team to back here.

Why the Titans can cover

Tennessee has a formidable duo along the defensive line in Denico Autry and Jeffery Simmons. Autry, a 6-foot-5, 285-pounder, leads the team in quarterback hits (10) and ranks second in sacks (five). Meanwhile the 6-foot-4, 305-pound Simmons leads the team in sacks (5.5), which is the second most sacks in the league by a defensive tackle this season behind the Jets' Quinnen Williams (6.0). Autry and Simmons are one of five teammate duos to each have at least five sacks.

In addition, running back Derrick Henry is coming off his best game of the year. Last week, the big back ran for a season-high 219 yards and averaged a season-best 6.84 yards per carry in a victory over the Texans. He also scored two touchdowns. See which team to back here.

How to make Titans vs. Chiefs picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 49 points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's SNF pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Chiefs vs. Titans on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Titans spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 148-107 roll on NFL picks, and find out.