Manchester City sees another English Premier League title on the horizon, but it still has choppy waters to navigate, including Sunday's home match against Newcastle. City (26-5-3) can only be assured of winning a fourth league title in five years if it wins out, and it comes in reeling after being ousted from the Champions League by Real Madrid in dramatic fashion on Wednesday. The Citizens are level on points with Liverpool in the Premier League table after the Reds tied Tottenham on Saturday. Newcastle (11-10-14) has soared up to 13th in the table after appearing to be in real danger of relegation early in the season.
Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET in Manchester, England. City is the -560 favorite (risk $560 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Manchester City vs. Newcastle odds, with Newcastle the +1500 underdog. A draw is priced at +600 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 3.5. Before making any Newcastle vs. Manchester City picks or English Premier League predictions, you need to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated almost $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.
Now, Green has broken down the Man City vs. Newcastle matchup from every angle and just revealed his coveted Premier League picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Newcastle vs. Man City:
- Man City vs. Newcastle spread: City -2.5 (+130)
- Man City vs. Newcastle over-under: 3.5 goals
- Man City vs. Newcastle money line: City -560, Newcastle +1500, Draw +600
- MCY: Nine of Kevin De Bruyne's 11 goals this season have come at Etihad Stadium.
- NEW: Newcastle has allowed 14 goals in 16 EPL games in 2022, five of those in one match.
Why you should back Manchester City
City has not lost a home game to Newcastle United since September 2000, when Alan Shearer gave the Magpies a 1-0 victory. It has lost to Newcastle just once in the past 28 meetings and has scored 15 goals while posting three clean sheets over the past four. That includes a 4-0 victory in December at St. James' Park, when City held the ball for 72 percent of the match. It outshot the Magpies 18-5 and allowed just one attempt on target. Raheem Sterling, who scored one of his 10 league goals in that match, could play a big role in Sunday's game.
Pep Guardiola has plenty of options to field a dangerous squad despite his team's fatigue. Kevin De Bruyne and Riyad Mahrez share the team lead with 11 goals, but Phil Foden (eight goals), Bernardo Silva (eight) and Ilkay Gundogan (six) are among those who can step up. City leads the EPL in possession at 68.1 percent, while Newcastle is last at 39.7. The Citizens also have allowed the fewest goals (21) and have a plus-63 goal differential, while the Magpies have conceded the fifth-most goals (56) and are at minus-16.
Why you should back Newcastle
Howe has turned around the fortunes of the Magpies, and the team spent a lot of money to add players. It didn't add stars, but Howe has found the formula to get the most out of them. Only City (33) and Liverpool (41) have more points than Newcastle (32) among EPL teams this calendar year. The Magpies are 7-1-4 in their past 12 league games, with three of those losses to top-five teams. They have allowed more than one goal just once in their last 17 matches. Man City is worn down, and likely still stinging from Wednesday's loss, and Newcastle is dangerous enough to exploit that.
The Magpies battled in a 1-0 loss to Liverpool last weekend, with goalkeeper Martin Dubravka the star of the day. The veteran Slovakian saved 10 of the 11 shots on target he faced to deny the Reds a more emphatic win. Leading Newcastle scorer Callum Wilson (six goals) is back from a long-term injury, but he might not be ready for a big role. Joelinton (four goals) and Chris Wood (two in 15 games) will be vying to lead the attack, and Allain Saint-Maximin (five goals, four assists) also can cause headaches for defenses. Newcastle has allowed just two goals over its past five games.
How to make Newcastle vs. Manchester City picks
Green has scrutinized the Newcastle vs. Manchester City match from every angle, and he is leaning under on the goal total. He also provides two confident best bets and has a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing those picks here.
Who wins Man City vs. Newcastle in Sunday's English Premier League matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the vs. Manchester City match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated almost $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons.