usatsi-13895691-jared-butler-baylor-2020-1400-phog.jpg
USATSI

The No. 9 Virginia Cavaliers look to move closer to an ACC regular-season championship when they visit the No. 17 Florida State Seminoles on Monday. The Cavaliers (15-3, 11-1), who lead the second-place Seminoles (11-3, 7-2) by 2 ½ games, are looking for their third conference title in the past four years. Florida State is the defending conference champion. Virginia has won eight of the last 12 meetings with the Seminoles.

The game from the Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, Fla., is scheduled to begin at 7 p.m. ET. Virginia is averaging 69.9 points per game, while Florida State averages 79.1. The Seminoles are 1.5-point favorites in the latest Virginia vs. Florida State odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 127.5, down from opening at 130. Before making any Florida State vs. Virginia picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Virginia vs. FSU. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for FSU vs. Virginia:

  • Virginia vs. Florida State spread: Florida State -1.5
  • Virginia vs. Florida State over-under: 127.5 points
  • Virginia vs. Florida State money line: Florida State -125; Virginia +105
  • UVA: Senior forward Sam Hauser was one of 25 players named to the Wooden Award midseason watch list on Jan. 5
  • FSU: The Seminoles are 75-4 (95 percent) in their last 79 home games since the end of the 2015-16 season
Latest Odds: Florida State Seminoles -2.5

Why Florida State can cover 

Freshman guard Scottie Barnes is off to a fine start to his career and has scored in double figures in six games, including a 13-point performance on Saturday against Wake Forest. His best game was a 17-point, five-assist effort against Florida on Dec. 12. In 13 games this season, he is averaging 10.5 points, 4.2 assists, 3.8 rebounds and 1.4 steals in 24.5 minutes per game. He is one of the top candidates for a number of awards, including the Naismith, Wooden and Lute Olson Awards as National Player of the Year. He earned ACC Freshman of the Week honors for the week of Dec. 14 for his performances against Indiana and Florida.

Junior guard Anthony Polite is also making his mark for the Seminoles, averaging 9.8 points, including 10.1 points per game on his home floor. He is coming off a 12-point, five-rebound effort against Wake Forest on Saturday. For the season, Polite has reached double figures in five games, including a season-high 15 points and nine rebounds against Gardner-Webb on Dec. 21. He totaled 14 points with six rebounds against UCF on Dec. 19 and scored 14 points, while grabbing five rebounds in a win over Florida on Dec. 12.

Why Virginia can cover

Hauser, a transfer from Marquette, has made a huge impact on the Cavaliers and leads the team in scoring at 15.1 points per game and rebounds at 7.1. He is also averaging 1.9 assists and 0.6 steals, while hitting on 51 percent of his field goals, including 43.9 percent from 3-point range. He is also a solid free throw shooter, connecting on 82.8 percent of his foul shots. He has scored in double figures in 16 games with three double-doubles. He had a season-high 23 points against Pittsburgh on Feb. 6.

Senior forward Jay Huff, who is on the Kareem Abdul-Jabbar Award watch list, has also been an offensive force for Virginia. He has reached double figures in 14 games, including a career-high 21 points against Syracuse on Jan. 25. He also hit a career-high four 3-pointers against Notre Dame on Jan. 13. He has three double-doubles this season, including an 18-point, 12-rebound performance against North Carolina on Saturday. For the season, he is averaging 13.4 points and 6.7 rebounds per game.

How to make Florida State vs. Virginia picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting both teams combine for 141 points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Florida State vs. Virginia? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.