Friday night will bring Conference USA to the CBS Sports Network with Middle Tennessee State hosting Western Kentucky. The Blue Raiders are 13.5-point favorites and the over-under, or total projected points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 53.5. Before you make any MTSU vs. Western Kentucky picks and predictions for the 8 p.m. ET kickoff, you're going to want to see what the advanced computer model at SportsLine is saying.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. Over the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors on its top-rated point-spread picks.
The model made some huge calls in Week 9, including nailing Oklahoma State's outright upset of No. 6 Texas. It also was all over Georgia (-6.5) covering against Florida, and recommended California (+12) against Washington, as well as Kentucky (+7) against Missouri. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the SportsLine Projection Model has simulated every possible play for MTSU vs. Western Kentucky 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you it's leaning under, but it has also locked in an extremely strong against the spread pick that hits in nearly 70 percent of simulations. You can only see that one at SportsLine.
The model knows that MTSU lives and dies by its offense. In their three losses on the year, the Blue Raiders averaged just 304 yards per game. In their five wins, they averaged 385, and that number jumps to nearly 445 if you take out a win over Charlotte where they gained just 144 yards.
Quarterback Brent Stockstill is coming off one of his best games of the season, completing over 78 percent of his passes and accounting for three touchdowns against Old Dominion. If Stockstill shows up like that again, he could help secure the cover.
However, don't assume it's going to be a cakewalk for MTSU on their home turf.
The Hilltoppers might only have one win this season, but they were competitive on the road against Louisville in a 20-17 loss and took 5-2 Marshall to the brink in a three-point defeat earlier this season. In the cover against Marshall, the Hilltoppers' defense forced four turnovers, which could be key to helping them cover against MTSU.
So, which side of the MTSU vs. Western Kentucky spread cashes in nearly 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of MTSU vs. Western Kentucky you need to jump on, all from the model that has returned over $4,000 in profit for $100 bettors.