Joe Burrow is landing in a pretty good spot as the No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft, with plenty of talent in the receiving game and one of the better backs in the league around to help make his transition as smooth as possible. If Burrow hits the ground running, this could be one of the more interesting teams in the league for Fantasy purposes.
Record: 2-14 (32nd in NFL)
PPG: 17.4 (30)
YPG: 323.1 (26)
Pass YPG: 228.3 (19)
Rush YPG: 94.8 (25)
PAPG: 38.5 (6)
RAPG: 24.1 (25)
2019 Fantasy finishes
Number to know: 6.9
Since the start of 2018, Tyler Boyd averaged a touchdown every 9.8 receptions in eight games with A.J. Green, and one every 16.7 receptions in 22 games without Green, a difference of 6.9 receptions. It sure seems like Boyd needs Green on the field to keep double-teams off him, especially in the red zone.
0 carries, 0 RB targets, 0 WR targets, 63 TE targets
Rankings and Projections
|Heath Cummings' projections|
|QB||Joe Burrow||4,218 YD, 26 TD, 18 INT; 206 Rush YD, 2 TD|
|RB||Joe Mixon||1,199 YD, 7 TD; 38 REC, 308 YD, 1 TD|
|RB||Giovani Bernard||191 YD, 1 TD; 30 REC, 243 YD, 1 TD|
|WR||A.J. Green||125 TAR, 74 REC, 1,075 YD, 7 TD|
|WR||Tyler Boyd||119 TAR, 77 REC, 927 YD, 6 TD|
|WR||John Ross||77 TAR, 39 REC, 564 YD, 3 TD|
|WR||Tee Higgins||77 TAR, 39 REC, 541 YD, 3 TD|
|TE||C.J. Uzomah||59 TAR, 40 REC, 370 YD, 3 TD|
How good can Joe Burrow be as a rookie?
"Burrow will be drafted as a No. 2 quarterback for Fantasy, but he averaged 378 passing yards and four touchdowns per game in his record-breaking 2019 season. It's up to Zac Taylor to devise an offense where Burrow can achieve even a fraction of that statistical success. But if Burrow can quickly gel with the considerable weaponry around him in Cincinnati, he could raise the Fantasy profiles of everyone on the roster." - Ben Gretch
One sleeper, one breakout, and one bust
The bad news is that the Bengals are bogged down by a tough schedule. The good news is they've got a fantastic quarterback prospect who should make everyone around him better, even if it takes a little while. Burrow shined at LSU thanks to his coolness in the pocket and excellent accuracy on his throws. Given the receivers around him, he should be in position to put up some numbers, but it could take him a little while to get acclimated to the pro game.
After a slow start, Mixon finished 2019 playing to expectations, averaging over 15 non-PPR points and over 17 PPR points over his final eight. The difference was a simple scheme change made by his coaching staff that played to his strengths as a patient runner. That he did this with a sub-standard quarterback and a meandering offensive line made it all the more impressive. Both of those factors should improve given the Bengals' offseason. A difficult schedule could hurt Mixon some, but his role as a workhorse in their improved offense should pay off with the best numbers he's had in his career, and that's saying something since he's amassed 1,400 total yards in each of his past two seasons.
Quick! Name the last 32-year-old wideout who came back from an ankle sprain and prolonged recovery to finish as a top-12 receiver? How about one that's managed to play 16 games once in his past five seasons? And what about a wide receiver who's delivered five 100-yard outings in his past two seasons? Okay, fine, Green's talent is undeniable when he's on his game, but there's no telling how often that'll happen given his recent track record. Tack on a rookie quarterback, even a gifted one like Burrow, and there are sure to be some unimpressive games. Getting Green to serve as a decent No. 2 Fantasy wide receiver is fine. Expecting him to be a stud contributor isn't.
AFC East: Bills | Jets | Patriots | Dolphins
NFC East: Giants | Cowboys | Eagles | Redskins
AFC South: Colts | Texans | Jaguars | Titans
NFC South: Panthers | Bucs | Falcons | Saints
AFC North: Ravens | Steelers | Browns | Bengals
NFC North: Packers | Vikings | Bears | Lions
AFC West: Chiefs | Broncos | Raiders | Chargers
NFC West: Seahawks | 49ers | Rams | Cardinals
So what Fantasy football sleepers should you snatch in your draft? And which WR1 candidate can you wait on until late? Visit SportsLine now to get cheat sheets from the model that was all over Derrick Henry's huge season, and find out.