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The Week 16 waiver wire is ridiculous as any I can remember. There are a half dozen running backs available who could be top-24 backs this week, but we'll talk about them in the running back preview. The No. 1 quarterback from Week 15 is available in half of leagues, and he's facing the Dallas Cowboys. Odds are, you should consider starting him over the quarterback on your roster.

As you'll see below in the projections, Hurts is within one Fantasy point (or ahead) of every quarterback not named Patrick Mahomes in Week 16. In leagues that reward six points per pass touchdown, I'm still starting Josh Allen (if Stefon Diggs is healthy) over him. I'm probably starting Kyler Murray, Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson over Hurts too, but I reserve the right to change my mind. Tom Brady is in the same conversation, but as of Tuesday afternoon I'd choose Hurts over him and every other quarterback not listed above. 

How did this happen so fast? He has 29 rush attempts in two starts and he's produced 22.9 PPR Fantasy points with his legs. As Jackson and Murray have shown us the past two years, if you run like that and you're an average passer, you're an elite Fantasy quarterback. We haven't seen enough from Hurts to say if he's a good NFL passer, but against the Dallas Cowboys, average is pretty low bar to clear. 

More Week 16 help: RB Preview | WR Preview | TE Preview | Waiver Wire | Cut List | Believe It or Not    

Week 16 QB Preview
QB Preview
Numbers to know
  • 168 -- Kyler Murray and Lamar Jackson combined for 168 rushing yards and two touchdowns in their two starts against Dallas.
  • 20 -- Every quarterback the Jaguars have faced since Week 7 has scored at least 20 Fantasy points.
  • 6.1 -- The Rams have held opponents to 6.1 yards per pass attempt. No other defense boasts an average below 6.5.
  • 2.9 -- Ben Roethliberger is averaging 2.9 completed air yards per attempt; only Alex Smith and Dwayne Haskins have a lower average.
  • 215 -- Justin Herbert leads the NFL with 215 pass attempts since Week 11.
  • 22.4 -- Baker Mayfield has scored at least 22.4 Fantasy points in each of his past four starts.
QB Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that Matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
CHI Chicago • #10
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ JAC CHI -7.5 O/U 46.5
OPP VS QB
31st
PROJ PTS
20.7
QB RNK
11th
CLE Cleveland • #6
Age: 25 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ NYJ CLE -9.5 O/U 46.5
OPP VS QB
30th
PROJ PTS
20
QB RNK
15th
SEA Seattle • #3
Age: 32 • Experience: 9 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs LAR SEA -2 O/U 47.5
OPP VS QB
1st
PROJ PTS
21.6
QB RNK
11th
IND Indianapolis • #17
Age: 39 • Experience: 17 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ PIT PIT -2.5 O/U 45.5
OPP VS QB
2nd
PROJ PTS
14.7
QB RNK
23rd
QB Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Waiver Wire/Streamers
PHI Philadelphia • #2
Age: 22 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ DAL PHI -1.5 O/U 49
OPP VS QB
24th
QB RNK
6th
ROSTERED
49%
Unless you have a top-five quarterback, Hurts is the second priority on the waiver wire (behind Tony Pollard).
CHI Chicago • #10
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ JAC CHI -7.5 O/U 46.5
OPP VS QB
31st
QB RNK
11th
ROSTERED
34%
Even when Trubisky has been bad for Fantasy the past month, his team is going up and down the field. Against Jacksonville he shouldn't have trouble picking up that second touchdown he was missing in Week 15.
CLE Cleveland • #6
Age: 25 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ NYJ CLE -9.5 O/U 46.5
OPP VS QB
30th
QB RNK
15th
ROSTERED
61%
The Jets are actually tough to run on, which should help get Mayfield near the 30 pass attempts he needs for Fantasy success.
QB Preview
DFS Plays
Top Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
PHI Philadelphia • #2
Age: 22 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ DAL PHI -1.5 O/U 49
OPP VS QB
24th
PROJ PTS
25.9
QB RNK
17th
FANDUEL
$8,200
DRAFTKINGS
$7,000
It will be difficult to fade Hurts in cash games, and with his upside I'll want a chunk in tournaments as well.
Top Contrarian Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
CHI Chicago • #10
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Trubisky has shown his 30-point upside twice this season, and his roster rate is always lower than it should be.
QB Preview
Heath's projections

So who should you start and sit this week? And which surprising quarterback could lead you to victory? Visit SportsLine now to get Week 16 rankings for every position, plus see which QB is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big-time last season.