2018 NFL Mock Draft: Baker Mayfield second QB drafted, Saquon Barkley falls out of top 10

We're closing in on the one week mark until the 2018 NFL Draft, and it's entirely possible that this draft becomes the most bonkers draft we've seen in years. The NFL offseason has been wild, full of trades all over the place and just generally insane.

Expect it to continue in the draft. In fact, most everyone who does a mock draft has been throwing trades in, even though that's something you don't often see. It's just that obvious teams will be flying all over the place in order to make moves for quarterbacks.

In the latest version of my mock draft, which I suppose is my next-to-last mock, I tested out an idea that Pete Prisco mentioned on the Pick Six Podcast (subscribe on iTunes here to get a daily, 30-minute, NFL-related podcast sent to your app every day): what happens if Saquon Barkley falls? 

It's not that crazy an idea. I've had him going No. 7 to the Buccaneers in several mocks so far this year. The widespread assumption is that Barkley will simply go in the top five because that's where running backs are drafted now (again). But the reality is there are four franchise quarterbacks who are going to get a lot of attention. And there are a few more blue-chip prospects that might push a guy like Barkley down out of the top five. If that happens, it's possible the teams sitting there in the No. 7 to No. 11 range end up passing on him. He could certainly end up going No. 2 overall too. Nothing would surprise. But don't be stunned if he falls down the board a bit. Here we have him doing just that.

We also have two mock trades for quarterbacks. First up are the Bills, who leap up to No. 4 in an expensive trade with the Browns (Buffalo gives up their two first-round picks this year, a first-round pick next year and a third-round pick to move from No. 12 to No. 4). It's just going to be expensive to get one of these quarterbacks. In this case, it's Sam Darnold, with the Jets passing on Darnold to take Baker Mayfield

And then Miami also moves up to get Josh Rosen, when he dips outside of the top five. They make a move with the Colts, giving up a future first and their first-round pick this year in order to secure a franchise quarterback as well. 

That's a lot to unpack and it doesn't remotely feel like it's crazy enough to actually capture the real situation that's going to unfold next Thursday. 

1. Cleveland Browns

Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming: The big-armed quarterback fits the mold of Patrick Mahomes, the last first-round pick that John Dorsey drafted, and could sit behind Tyrod Taylor. Ultimately he's got the most upside and it might be tough to pass up.


2. New York Giants

Bradley Chubb, DE, NC State: I don't think Dave Gettleman's going to move down and I don't think he's going to mess around here. He just wants to get the player who is on the top of his board. 


3. New York Jets (via Indianapolis Colts)

Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma: The Jets are doing their due diligence on Sam Darnold and Josh Rosen now too, but in this iteration they snag Mayfield as the second QB of the board. 


4. Buffalo Bills (via mock trade with Browns (from Texans))

Sam Darnold, QB, USC: Brandon Beane can't believe his eyes. His top quarterback on the board is there at No. 4 overall, so he packages No. 12, No. 22, No. 65 and a future first-round pick to move up to No. 4 and grabs Darnold.  


5. Denver Broncos

Quenton Nelson, OL, Notre Dame: The Broncos are tempted to trade down here, but instead decide to grab the best offensive lineman in the class to improve their offensive attack. 


6. Miami Dolphins (via mock trade with Colts (from Jets))

Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA: Appearing on the Pick Six Podcast (subscribe here for a daily, 30-minute dose of NFL news in your podcast app), Adam Beasley of the Miami Herald said that Miami coach Adam Gase is "obsessed" with Rosen. He gets a shot to quench his thirst with a trade up to add a franchise quarterback.


7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Derwin James, DB, Florida State: The Buccaneers could certainly go Saquon Barkley here, but instead decide to grab a defensive back who can play all over the field and immediately improve their defense. 


8. Chicago Bears

Roquan Smith, LB, Georgia: The Bears would love to see Nelson here, but instead decide to go with a guy who can inject some speed and athleticism into the second level of their defense right off the bat.


9. San Francisco 49ers

Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State: Another team that could pass on a running back, thanks to their free-agent investment. The 49ers instead decide to add a top defensive talent across the field from Richard Sherman.


10. Oakland Raiders

Minkah Fitzpatrick, DB, Alabama: It wouldn't be shocking if Jon Gruden dipped into the running back pool, especially with Doug Martin and Marshawn Lynch living on borrowed time. But the Raiders have much more important needs, especially on defense.


11. Indianapolis Colts (via mock trade with Dolphins)

Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State: Chris Ballard would get high marks if he pulls this off, as it would mean he managed to trade down twice and still come away with one of the top-tier prospects at a position of need for the Colts. Barkley could do a lot to ease the burden on Andrew Luck


12. Cleveland Browns (via mock trade with Bills (from Bengals))

Harold Landry, EDGE, Boston College: And credit John Dorsey for moving all over the board as well. Piling up a huge haul from the Bills to move down nets the Browns a key defensive piece and their top choice at quarterback with more picks to come.


13. Washington Redskins

Vita Vea, DL, Washington: The Redskins need to keep investing in the defensive front, despite grabbing Jonathan Allen in the first round last year. They could also go cornerback here as well. 


14. Green Bay Packers

Leighton Vander Esch, LB, Boise State: The Packers should be in pretty good shape on the offensive side of the ball, and it's hard not to imagine them investing heavily in the defensive side to start the draft. 


15. Arizona Cardinals

Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville: It wouldn't be the worst thing in the world to stand pat and still be able to come away with a potential franchise quarterback. The Cardinals do just that here. 


16. Baltimore Ravens

Mason Rudolph, QB, Oklahoma State: The Ravens have to be thinking about life after Joe Flacco at some point, or at least figuring out a way to get the cost of their quarterback down significantly. 


17. Los Angeles Chargers

Tremaine Edmunds, LB, Virginia Tech:The quarterbacks coming off the board present the Chargers with an ideal situation to improve the second level of their defense.


18. Seattle Seahawks

Mike McGlinchey, OL, Notre Dame: Landing a pro-ready tackle with a high floor to help protect Russell Wilson should cause John Schneider to sprint and turn in his card for this first-round pick.


19. Dallas Cowboys

D.J. Moore, WR, Maryland: After getting rid of Dez Bryant, it's pretty difficult to imagine the Cowboys not investing in the wide receiver position early in the draft. 


20. Detroit Lions

Da'Ron Payne, DL, Alabama: Matt Patricia can invest in a defensive anchor out of the gate by landing Payne here and plugging him into the middle of his defensive line.


21. Cincinnati Bengals (via Buffalo Bills)

Isaiah Wynn, OL, Georgia: The Bengals probably want to keep investing in the offensive line in order to try and protect Andy Dalton. At least that's what John Breech thinks they should do, and I tend to agree with him.  


22. Cleveland Browns (via mock trade from BUF)

Kolton Miller, OL, UCLA: The Browns would be able to, in this scenario, leave the first round with a passer, a pass rusher and a potential franchise left tackle. People will sing the praises of John Dorsey out of the gate here. 


23. New England Patriots

Marcus Davenport, DE, UTSA: Bill Belichick typically invests early in front seven players, and he could certainly see the Patriots as a team in need of a pass rusher, both depth and youth. 


24. Carolina Panthers

Will Hernandez, OL, UTEP: The Panthers need to find immediate help to try and replace the departed Andrew Norwell, and this is a pretty good draft to do so. 


25. Tennessee Titans

Maurice Hurst, DL, Michigan: The Titans have quietly built a pretty nice little defense, but could easily keep investing into the defensive line to try and build out depth there. 


26. Atlanta Falcons

Mike Hughes, DB, UCF: The Falcons haven't been afraid to take chances on high-upside players, and even if they don't necessarily need a cornerback, they could certainly use depth.


27. New Orleans Saints

Courtland Sutton, WR, SMU: It's weird to think about it, but the Saints could actually use a little bit more help for Drew Brees, even after signing Cameron Meredith in free agency.


28. Pittsburgh Steelers

Rashaan Evans, LB, Alabama: The Steelers would certainly love to try and improve the quality of their defense in the middle of the field and grabbing Evans would help in that regard. 


29. Jacksonville Jaguars

Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama: The Jaguars have put a lot of resources into the wideout position, but it's not hard to look at the group they have and see that it could use some upgrades over the long haul.


30. Minnesota Vikings

Isaiah Oliver, CB, Colorado: The Vikings draft their cornerbacks when it looks like they don't need them, so they can learn Mike Zimmer's system and get ready to play when the depth ahead of them disappears. 


31. New England Patriots

Josh Jackson, CB, Iowa: Bill Belichick typically invests early in front seven players, but this cornerback class is really deep and it's going to end up with guys falling down the draft board because of needs for teams elsewhere. 


32. Philadelphia Eagles

Derrius Guice, RB, LSU: They don't need a running back, but Guice could give them another body to throw out there. Having tons of talent at the position helped in a massive way down the stretch last year. 

CBS Sports Senior Writer

Will Brinson joined CBS Sports in 2010 and enters his seventh season covering the NFL for CBS. He previously wrote for FanHouse along with myriad other Internet sites. A North Carolina native who lives... Full Bio

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