The Minnesota Vikings have won nine of their last 10 games, but they're still two-point underdogs against the Detroit Lions according to the Week 14 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook. The Lions enter Sunday's showdown having won four of their last five games. Detroit's offense has scored 31 or more points in three of their last four outings, while the Vikings have given up 29.5 points per game on average over their last four contests. Detroit is now tasked with trying to cover one of the slimmest NFL spreads of the week. Which teams should you target for your Week 14 NFL office pool picks, NFL survivor pool picks, and NFL bets? All of the Week 14 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 14 NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 156-112 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Top Week 14 NFL predictions
One of the model's strongest Week 14 NFL picks is that the Titans (-3.5) cover the spread at home against the Jaguars. The Titans have dominated this AFC South rivalry over the years. In fact, Tennessee has won nine of its last 10 meetings with the Jaguars.
The Titans enter Sunday's showdown giving up just 83.1 rushing yards per game, which ranks third in the NFL. The Jags have failed to win a game on the road this season and suffered a lopsided 40-14 loss to the Lions last week. SportsLine's model expects the Titans will hold the Jaguars to just 17 points on Sunday, a major reason why Tennessee covers the spread nearly 60% of the time. See which other teams to pick here.
Top Week 14 NFL survivor picks
The model's Week 14 NFL knockout pool picks say to avoid the Vikings (10-2), even though they have twice as many wins as the Lions (5-7). Minnesota has won a pair of home games by one score recently, but it is only three games removed from a 40-3 blowout loss against Dallas. The Vikings have also not been on the road in nearly a month, making this a tricky scheduling spot.
Detroit has won four of its last five games, blowing out Jacksonville in a 40-14 final last week. The Lions' lone loss during their recent stretch came in a 28-25 setback against Buffalo in which they easily covered a 9.5-point spread. Minnesota barely snuck by with a 28-24 win at home when these teams met in September, so SportsLine's model does not recommend selecting the Vikings with your Week 14 NFL survivor picks. See which team you should pick here.
Top Week 14 NFL office pool picks
One of the strongest Week 14 NFL football pool picks from the model is that the Seahawks beat the Panthers. The Seahawks could be without running back Kenneth Walker III (ankle), but they might not miss him after quarterback Geno Smith had his biggest game of the season in a win against the Rams in Week 13. Against Los Angeles, Smith completed 71.8% of his passes for 367 yards and three touchdowns.
Carolina is coming off its bye, but expecting a turnaround from the four-win campaign the Panthers have endured thus far seems like a tall order against a team gunning for a playoff spot. The model predicts that Smith has a more modest performance on Sunday, but is steady enough to lead the Seahawks to win in 70% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
How to make Week 14 NFL picks
The model has made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 14 NFL schedule, and it also has multiple A-rated picks you won't see coming. It's also backing a surprising team that's turned the corner in its NFL survivor picks. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So what NFL predictions, NFL pool picks, and NFL survivor picks can you make with confidence? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned more than $7,000 since its inception, and find out.
Week 14 NFL odds, lines, spreads
Sunday, Dec. 11
Jets at Bills (-10, 43.5)
Vikings at Lions (-2, 52)
Jaguars at Titans (-3, 41.5)
Panthers at Seahawks (-3.5, 44.5)
Monday, Dec. 12