NCAA Football: Texas A&M at Alabama

Some of the top teams in the most recent College Football Playoff rankings face sneaky tests on the Week 11 college football schedule, while others face more obvious pitfalls. No. 3 Oregon hosts a pesky Washington State team as a 14-point favorite in the Week 11 college football odds from Caesars Sportsbook. No. 4 Ohio State hosts No. 19 Purdue as a 21-point favorite, No. 6 Michigan (-1.5) visits a talented Penn State team and No. 7 Michigan State is -12 against Maryland. Which of these teams deserve your money for Week 11 college football bets?

The college football season only has a few weeks left, which means there are only a few more chances for shakeups to the College Football Playoff field. That also means there are only a few more chances for bettors to maximize their winnings for the season. Before making any Week 11 college football picks on those games or others, be sure to see the latest college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on a 31-20 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 11 college football odds from Caesars and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 11 college football predictions

One of the top college football picks the model is recommending for Week 11: No. 13 Baylor (+5) stays within the spread against No. 8 Oklahoma in a Big 12 showdown at noon ET on Saturday in Waco. Baylor is one of the Sooners' chief challengers in the Big 12 this season, and an upset would have huge conference and CFB Playoff implications.

SportsLine's model isn't projecting Baylor to actually pull off the upset. The model sees a 33-30 Oklahoma win as its projected outcome. But in that projection, and in well over 50 percent of simulations from the model, Baylor covers that five-point spread. The model also has found value in going over 63 in this one. 

Another one of the college football predictions from the model: No. 9 Notre Dame (-6.5) covers against Virginia in a 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday matchup. The Fighting Irish did not let a loss to then-No. 7 Cincinnati in early October define their season, as they have bounced back with four consecutive wins. Their latter three victories have come by double digits over USC, North Carolina and Navy. Sophomore running back Kyren Williams has gone over 80 rushing yards in each of his last four games.

Virginia is coming off a demoralizing 66-49 loss at BYU in its last game and the status of quarterback Brennan Armstrong (ribs) is uncertain for this one. The Cavaliers have allowed a combined 106 points in their last two games, which does not bode well in this matchup. SportsLine's model projects Williams to rush for nearly 90 yards and a touchdown on Saturday, as the Fighting Irish are covering the spread in over 60 percent of simulations. 

How to make Week 11 college football picks 

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 11 college football schedule, and it's calling for a top-15 team to go down hard in a surprising upset. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what college football picks can you make with confidence? And which top-15 squad gets stunned? Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $3,500 in profit over the past five-plus seasons, and find out.

Week 11 college football odds (via Caesars)

Here are the college football lines for some of Week 11's most notable matchups:

Saturday, Nov. 13

Auburn vs. Mississippi State (+5.5, 50.5)

Featured Game | Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Oklahoma vs. Baylor (+5.5, 63)

Featured Game | Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Michigan vs. Penn State (-1, 48)

Featured Game | Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines

Alabama vs. New Mexico State (+51.5, 67)

Iowa vs. Minnesota (+6.5, 37)

Featured Game | Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Ohio State vs. Purdue (+20, 61)

Featured Game | Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Georgia vs. Tennessee (+20.5, 55)

Featured Game | Tennessee Volunteers vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Michigan State vs. Maryland (+13.5, 62.5)

Featured Game | Michigan State Spartans vs. Maryland Terrapins

Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss (+2.5, 55.5.)

Featured Game | Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas A&M Aggies

Notre Dame vs. Virginia (+5.5, 64)

Featured Game | Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Wake Forest vs. NC State (+2.5, 66.5)

Featured Game | Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. NC State Wolfpack

Oklahoma State vs. TCU (+13, 54.5)

Featured Game | Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs

Oregon vs. Washington State (+14, 56.5)

Featured Game | Oregon Ducks vs. Washington State Cougars