The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies get together for Game 1 of the National League Championship Series on Monday. The best-of-seven matchup begins with the opener at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Both teams earned 2023 MLB playoffs berths as Wild Card teams, and each upset top-seeded teams in the NLDS. Arizona knocked off the Los Angeles Dodgers in a three-game sweep, while Philadelphia defeated the Atlanta Braves in four games.
First pitch is scheduled for 8:07 p.m. ET. SportsLine consensus lists Philadelphia as -169 money line favorites (risk $169 to win $100) in the latest Diamondbacks vs. Phillies odds. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 7.5. Before locking in any Phillies vs. Diamondbacks picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the NLCS and ALCS of the 2023 MLB playoffs 93-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Phillies vs. Diamondbacks and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Diamondbacks vs. Phillies:
- Diamondbacks vs. Phillies money line: Phillies -169, Diamondbacks +144
- Diamondbacks vs. Phillies over/under: 7.5 runs
- Diamondbacks vs. Phillies run line: Phillies -1.5 (+128)
- Arizona: The Diamondbacks are 45-40 in 2023 road games, including playoffs
- Philadelphia: The Phillies are 53-32 in 2023 home games, including playoffs
- Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Diamondbacks
Arizona stunningly swept Los Angeles in the NLDS, and the Diamondbacks are playing incredibly well. The Diamondbacks enter the NLCS with an .877 OPS and 13 home runs in five playoff games, and Arizona is averaging 6.0 runs per game with seven stolen bases in the postseason. In the regular season, Arizona led the league with 44 triples, and the team's speed is evident with 166 stolen bases. The Diamondbacks also avoid strikeouts, finishing second-best in the NL with only 1,247 punch-outs, and Corbin Carroll is one of the game's best young players.
He has a .412/.565/.824 slash line in five playoff outings, contributing two home runs, two stolen bases and six walks with only one strikeouts. Carroll also became the first rookie in MLB history with at least 25 home runs and 50 stolen bases, and he led the National League with 10 triples. On the pitching side, Arizona's starting rotation is potent, and the Diamondbacks bullpen has been outstanding in the playoffs. Opponents are hitting only .219 against Arizona relievers, with the Diamondbacks producing a 1.77 ERA with 23 strikeouts across 20.1 innings of work. See which team to back here.
Why you should back the Phillies
Philadelphia's offense is red-hot right now, leading the 2023 MLB playoffs with an .892 OPS and blasting 13 home runs and 13 doubles. The Phillies are also entering this matchup with fantastic run prevention, including one of the game's best starting pitchers in Zack Wheeler. Wheeler threw 192 innings with a 3.61 ERA in the regular season, including a 3.01 ERA in the last 13 starts. Wheeler also ranked in the top three of the National League in WHIP (1.078) and strikeout-to-walk ratio (5.44), and right-handed batters had only a .548 OPS against him.
Wheeler is also dominating the playoffs, producing a 2.08 ERA with 18 strikeouts and only one walk in 13 innings of work. He boasts a career 2.59 playoff ERA, and Philadelphia's bullpen projects well. Phillies relievers have combined for a 1.45 ERA in 18.2 playoff innings, with opponents producing only a .214 batting average against them. Philadelphia was also sound in the bullpen during the regular season, posting top-three marks in ERA (3.58) and walks allowed (217). See which team to back here.
How to make Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 8.8 combined runs. It also says one side on the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Phillies vs. Diamondbacks, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 93-74 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.
