The Indiana Pacers will try to snap their losing skid when they face the Miami Heat on Wednesday night. Indiana has lost 12 of its last 14 games, dropping to 10th place in the Eastern Conference standings. Miami is on a two-game losing skid following a 123-115 loss at Milwaukee on Saturday.
Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Miami is favored by 7 points in the latest Heat vs. Pacers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 223. Before entering any Pacers vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 52-28 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns!
Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Pacers. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Heat vs. Pacers:
- Heat vs. Pacers spread: Heat -7
- Heat vs. Pacers over/under: 223 points
- Heat vs. Pacers money line: Miami -278, Indiana +222
- Heat vs. Pacers picks: See picks here
Why the Heat can cover
Miami is coming off back-to-back road losses, but it had won four of its previous five games. The Heat have been tough to handle at home this season, going 17-9 in their last 26 games at Miami-Dade Arena. They will be motivated to get back on track against an Indiana team that has lost 12 of its last 14 games.
Veteran Jimmy Butler poured in 32 points in Saturday's loss to Milwaukee, wrapping up a four-game road trip. Butler leads the team with 21.9 points and 2.1 steals per game, while big man Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.5 points and 10.0 rebounds per game. Indiana has only covered the spread three times in its last 12 games, failing to cover the number in seven consecutive road games.
Why the Pacers can cover
Indiana might be 2-12 in its last 14 games, but it finally has its best player back on the court. The Pacers went 1-9 in their 10 games without Tyrese Haliburton (knee and elbow) after going 8-2 in their 10 games prior to his injury issues. Haliburton leads the team with 20.0 points and an NBA-best 10.3 assists per game, shooting 87.0% from the charity stripe and 40.6% from 3-point range.
The third-year pro has led Indiana to a pair of wins against Miami this season, scoring a career-high 43 points in a 111-108 win at Miami on Dec. 23. Myles Turner is averaging 17.7 points, 8.1 rebounds and 2.4 blocks per game, while Buddy Hield and Bennedict Mathurin are both scoring 17.4 points. Indiana has covered the spread in eight of its last 12 trips to Miami, which has only covered the spread once in its last five games this season.
How to make Pacers vs. Heat picks
The model has simulated Heat vs. Pacers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Pacers vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the Heat vs. Pacers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.