The Kansas City Chiefs will look to continue their hot start to the season when they battle the Atlanta Falcons in a key interconference matchup on Sunday Night Football. Kansas City has opened with wins over Baltimore (27-20) and Cincinnati (26-25). Atlanta, meanwhile, opened with an 18-10 loss to Pittsburgh, before rebounding to defeat Philadelphia 22-21. The Chiefs, who can claim their ninth consecutive AFC West crown, are looking to make their fifth Super Bowl appearance in the last six years. The Falcons, who last made the postseason in 2017, are looking for their first win over Kansas City since a 40-24 triumph in 2012.
Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 3-point favorite in the latest Falcons vs. Chiefs odds via SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 46.5. Before you make any Chiefs vs. Falcons picks or predictions, you need to see what proven SportsLine NFL expert Larry Hartstein has to say, given his mastery of picks involving the Falcons.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Hartstein tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Larry's weekly Vegas contest selections form the basis of his NFL best bets column, which is 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) since its inception in 2022. Entering the 2024 season, Hartstein is 739-599 all-time on NFL sides and props (plus $4,860 for $100 players, every bet 1 unit) at SportsLine, including 547-452 ATS (55% long-term).
In addition, Hartstein has gone an incredible 49-23-2 on his last 74 NFL picks involving the Falcons, returning $2,155. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
Now, Hartstein has locked in on Chiefs vs. Falcons from every angle and just locked in his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds on the spread, over/under and money line for NFL betting on Falcons vs. Chiefs:
- Falcons vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -3
- Falcons vs. Chiefs over/under: 46.5 points
- Falcons vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -169, Atlanta +142
- KC: Chiefs have hit the fourth-quarter game total under in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.75 units)
- ATL: Falcons have hit the third-quarter total under in five of their last seven games at home (+2.25 units)
- Falcons vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Chiefs can cover
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes can set a couple of marks against Atlanta. He has 76 wins in 98 career starts, tied with Tom Brady and Hall of Famer Roger Staubach for most wins ever by a quarterback in his first 100 starts. He also has 222 career TD passes, tied with Aaron Rodgers for most-ever in his first 100 starts. For the year, Mahomes has been solid. He has completed 38 of 53 pass attempts (71.7%) for 442 yards and three touchdowns.
Tight end Travis Kelce, who has been relatively quiet so far this season, has four receptions for 39 yards, including one explosive play of 23 yards. In the opener against Baltimore, he caught three passes for 34 yards. Kelce has been a weapon throughout his career. In 160 regular-season games, he has 911 receptions for 11,367 yards (12.5 average) and 74 touchdowns. See which team to back here.
Why the Falcons can cover
Thirteen-year veteran Kirk Cousins is coming off a brilliant Monday Night Football performance. In the win over the Eagles, he drove Atlanta 70 yards in less than two minutes as the Falcons pulled out the improbable win. He completed 20 of 29 passes (69%) for 241 yards and two touchdowns in the game. For the year, he has completed 36 of 55 attempts (65.5%) for 396 yards and three touchdowns. He has been intercepted twice and has a rating of 89.7.
Wide receiver Darnell Mooney continues to be explosive. He has four receptions for 103 yards (25.8 average) and one touchdown. He has three receptions of 20 yards or longer, including a 41-yarder. He has 37 yards after the catch and has converted four first downs. The former Chicago Bear is in his fifth year in the NFL and has played in 62 games, making 217 receptions for 2,696 yards (12.4 average) and 12 touchdowns. See which team to pick here.
How to make Falcons vs. Chiefs picks
Hatstein has analyzed Chiefs vs. Falcons from every possible angle and while we can tell you he's leaning Under the point total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.
Who wins Chiefs vs. Falcons on Sunday Night Football, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Falcons spread to back, all from the expert who is an incredible 49-23 on picks involving Atlanta, and find out.